Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $360.46
- Potential payout
- $5.55K
- Potential profit
- $5.19K
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$471.37
Polymarket Trader
0xCFAd7A4c00b7438cdCa95211EE1f634244bE66E2-1770816297107
0xcfad7a4c00b7438cdca95211ee1f634244be66e2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $360.46
- Realized PnL
- $7.58K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $766.74
- Potential profit
- $766.74
- User PnL
- -$666.69
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $671.5
- Potential profit
- $671.5
- User PnL
- -$46.65
Down position
Solana Up or Down - April 15, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $583.39
- Potential profit
- $583.39
- User PnL
- -$304.14
Down position
Solana Up or Down - April 17, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $555.99
- Potential profit
- $555.99
- User PnL
- -$304.75
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 16, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $549.23
- Potential profit
- $549.23
- User PnL
- -$304.91
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 16, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $544.99
- Potential profit
- $544.99
- User PnL
- -$305.01
Down position
Solana Up or Down - April 16, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $538.93
- Potential profit
- $538.93
- User PnL
- -$305.16
Down position
XRP Up or Down - April 18, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $505.19
- Potential profit
- $505.19
- User PnL
- -$306.06
Up position
XRP Up or Down - April 18, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $495.16
- Potential profit
- $495.16
- User PnL
- -$306.35
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 12, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $488.36
- Potential profit
- $488.36
- User PnL
- -$251.03
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 14, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $471.54
- Potential profit
- $471.54
- User PnL
- -$251.38
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 15, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $440.88
- Potential profit
- $440.88
- User PnL
- -$252.11
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 12, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $440.68
- Potential profit
- $440.68
- User PnL
- -$252.12
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $436.59
- Potential profit
- $436.59
- User PnL
- -$252.22
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 15, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $430.51
- Potential profit
- $430.51
- User PnL
- -$252.38
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 15, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $424.1
- Potential profit
- $424.1
- User PnL
- -$252.55
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 18, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $406.83
- Potential profit
- $406.83
- User PnL
- -$202.4
Down position
XRP Up or Down - April 18, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $391.47
- Potential profit
- $391.47
- User PnL
- -$190.69
Up position
Solana Up or Down - April 17, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $391.41
- Potential profit
- $391.41
- User PnL
- -$233.01
Up position
Solana Up or Down - April 21, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $374.99
- Potential profit
- $374.99
- User PnL
- -$224.32
Up position
XRP Up or Down - April 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $350.65
- Potential profit
- $350.65
- User PnL
- -$197
Down position
Solana Up or Down - April 11, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $345.67
- Potential profit
- $345.67
- User PnL
- -$197.13
Down position
Solana Up or Down - April 15, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $344.39
- Potential profit
- $344.39
- User PnL
- -$203.77
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.17K
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $630.65
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $497.23
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 18, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $390.18
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $364.57
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $348.11
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $325.9
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 17, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $296.44
Down position
Solana Up or Down - April 15, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $266.23
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $261.61
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 15, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $254.03
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $244.39
Up position
Solana Up or Down - April 15, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $240.92
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $235.97
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 18, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $229.08
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $224.36
Up position
XRP Up or Down - April 15, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $216.71
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $215.55
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $214.49
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $198.62
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $194.29
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $192.03
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $185.71
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $173.91
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 2:00PM-2:05PM ETUp 50% 21.6 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 1:55PM-2:00PM ETUp 49% 61.22 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 1:50PM-1:55PM ETUp 50% 60 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 1:40PM-1:45PM ETUp 50% 60 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 12:10PM-12:15PM ETUp 51% 58.82 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 12:00PM-12:05PM ETUp 51% 58.82 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 11:50AM-11:55AM ETUp 51% 58.82 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down - July 4, 11:40AM-11:45AM ETUp 48.1% 22.45 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down - July 4, 11:35AM-11:40AM ETUp 51% 58.82 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 11:35AM-11:40AM ETUp 51% 58.82 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 11:30AM-11:35AM ETUp 51% 58.82 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down - July 4, 11:30AM-11:35AM ETUp 51% 58.82 shares