No position
Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 May 4-10?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $16.19
- Potential payout
- $16.19
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.19
Polymarket Trader
shizuoka.eblan
0xcfc302e5d71062b2cd2d50c15041424c9c2da6b0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $96.85
- Realized PnL
- $167.74
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $10.87
- Potential payout
- $10.87
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.87
No position
Puffpaw FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 90.9%
- Current value
- $9.77
- Potential payout
- $10.75
- Potential profit
- $0.98
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$0.23
No position
Extended FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Current value
- $10.12
- Potential payout
- $10.56
- Potential profit
- $0.44
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $10.35
- Potential payout
- $10.35
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.35
No position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $10.15
- Potential payout
- $10.15
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $10.05
- Potential payout
- $10.05
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $7.73
- Potential payout
- $7.73
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.42
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $7.29
- Potential payout
- $7.29
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.29
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on May 9?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $4.32
- Potential payout
- $4.32
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
WLFI above $0.20 on September 12?
Ends Sep 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.1
- Potential profit
- $4.1
- User PnL
- -$3.2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Raptors position
76ers vs. Raptors
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $107.73
No position
Will any Google Gemini 3 model score at least 1500 on LMArena by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.54
Aces position
WNBA: Liberty vs. Aces Game 3
Ends Oct 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.77
No position
Will Luigi Mangione plead guilty?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.64
Yes position
Will Lazio beat Nice?
Ends Oct 3, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $2000 by February 28 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.29
No position
Farcaster airdrop in Q1 2025?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.16
Yes position
Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.13
Yes position
Will the New York Yankees win the American League?
Ends Oct 22, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.13
Yes position
Will Kamala say "border" 3+ times during her Nevada speech?
Ends Sep 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.13
Yes position
MicroStrategy purchases more Bitcoin before inauguration?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.11
No position
Aleo airdrop in Q1 2025?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.99
No position
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-01-14?
Ends Jan 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.92
No position
Will Leicester win on 2024-11-23?
Ends Nov 23, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.86
No position
Will Sydney Sweeney issue a statement about the American Eagle commercial by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.82
Yes position
Bitcoin above $84,000 on March 7?
Ends Mar 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.82
No position
Aleo airdrop in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.76
No position
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase November 4-10?
Ends Nov 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.73
Yes position
Will a Republican win Florida in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.72
No position
Will the Liberal party lead by less than 4% on April 18?
Ends Apr 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.7
Yes position
Will Trump say "get out and vote" during Georgia rally on October 23?
Ends Oct 23, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.62
No position
Will Trump say "MAGA" 4 or more times during his inauguration speech?
Ends Feb 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.59
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.56
Yes position
Will a Democrat win New York Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.55
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on May 9?No 99.5% 4.32 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 May 4-10?No 98.8% 16.19 shares
- Epstein suicide note released by May 8?No 99.5% 10.05 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No 96% 7.29 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?No 94.6% 7.73 shares
- Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of March 2 above $245?Yes 99.4% 6.47 shares
- Will Solana reach $150 in March?No 97.9% 10.21 shares
- Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?No 96.4% 7.26 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 7?No 95.8% 6.96 shares
- MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?No 92% 10.87 shares
- MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?No 96.6% 10.35 shares
- MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?No 98.5% 10.15 shares