Polymarket Trader

0xcfcaA2A05cfF6Dbf0D2b8A728f9F9DEe10D0C3fd-1772401072109

0xcfcaa2a05cff6dbf0d2b8a728f9f9dee10d0c3fd

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $264.99
Realized PnL: -$14.2
Win rate: 47.1%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 17
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $74.5
Potential payout: $1.66K
Potential profit: $1.58K
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: $10.07

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 8.1%
Current value: $15.05
Potential payout: $186.92
Potential profit: $171.87
Multiplier: 12.42x
User PnL: -$4.95

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $28.94
Potential payout: $134.91
Potential profit: $105.97
Multiplier: 4.66x
User PnL: -$1.28

Yes position

Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $9
Potential payout: $66.67
Potential profit: $57.67
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$11

Yes position

Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $58.82
Potential profit: $58.82
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.6%
Current value: $53.06
Potential payout: $56.12
Potential profit: $3.06
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $3.06

Yes position

Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the July decision?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 67.5%
Current value: $37.5
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $18.06
Multiplier: 1.48x
User PnL: $27.5

Yes position

Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $46.94
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $8.61
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: -$3.06

Yes position

Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.71
Potential profit: $14.71
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.33
Potential profit: $8.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.67
Potential profit: $6.67
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.33

Yes position

Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.24

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-06-12?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.68

Yes position

Will the Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the April decision?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1

Yes position

Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1

No position

Jimmy Lai released by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.29

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.18

No position

Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 49.5%
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: -$0.96

No position

Trump out as President before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: -$1.04

Yes position

Trump out as President by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.06

Yes position

Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.52

Yes position

Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand decrease the official cash rate after the April decision?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.14

Yes position

Will Xi Jinping purge Zhang Shengmin in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.1%
Multiplier: 16.39x
User PnL: -$6.23

Yes position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$6.56

Yes position

Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the May decision?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$15.44

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?

Yes 17% 58.82 shares
Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the July decision?

Yes 18% 55.56 shares
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?

Yes 8% 13.64 shares
Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?

Yes 71% 17.24 shares
Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw?

Yes 66% 3.03 shares
Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw?

Yes 33% 3.03 shares
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?

Yes 12% 8.33 shares
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?

Yes 22% 13.64 shares
Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?

Yes 29% 17.24 shares
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?

Yes 21% 22.72 shares
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?

Yes 22% 22.73 shares
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?

Yes 4% 25 shares