Polymarket Trader

0xCfEf9d2F2Bb04B4fb13FA5511B979bD7a9df4dfE-1776133971875

0xcfef9d2f2bb04b4fb13fa5511b979bd7a9df4dfe

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $214.7
Realized PnL: $493.86
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 18
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $7.7
Potential payout: $217.39
Potential profit: $209.7
Multiplier: 28.25x
User PnL: $2.7

Yes position

Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.62
Potential payout: $154.16
Potential profit: $153.55
Multiplier: 250.00x
User PnL: -$33.98

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 36.5%
Current value: $37.49
Potential payout: $102.7
Potential profit: $65.22
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: -$0.51

Yes position

Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $91.69
Potential payout: $100.21
Potential profit: $8.52
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: -$2.51

Yes position

Will Ecuador finish last in Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.8%
Current value: $6.06
Potential payout: $51.37
Potential profit: $45.31
Multiplier: 8.47x
User PnL: $0.85

Yes position

World Cup: Messi to Score a Free Kick?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $9.21
Potential payout: $40.94
Potential profit: $31.73
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: -$1.64

Yes position

Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $4.19
Potential payout: $20.45
Potential profit: $16.26
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$1.74

Yamal position

World Cup Goals H2H: Yamal vs. Mbappe

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 8.1%
Current value: $1.66
Potential payout: $20.44
Potential profit: $18.79
Multiplier: 12.35x
User PnL: -$3.86

Yes position

Alexander Sørloth: 1+ goals

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.43
Potential profit: $20.43
User PnL: -$5.72

Yes position

Will Japan finish second in Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 66.5%
Current value: $13.45
Potential payout: $20.23
Potential profit: $6.78
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: $0.91

Yes position

Will Cape Verde finish last in Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 17%
Current value: $3.33
Potential payout: $19.61
Potential profit: $16.27
Multiplier: 5.88x
User PnL: -$6.67

Alvarez position

World Cup Goals H2H: Haaland vs. Alvarez

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $1.08
Potential payout: $10.25
Potential profit: $9.17
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$3.02

No position

Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 36.4%
Current value: $3.71
Potential payout: $10.2
Potential profit: $6.49
Multiplier: 2.75x
User PnL: -$0.21

Yes position

Will Martin Ødegaard score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $4.03
Potential payout: $10.2
Potential profit: $6.17
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Will Alexander Sørloth score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 69.5%
Current value: $7.05
Potential payout: $10.15
Potential profit: $3.1
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: $1.67

Yes position

Will Dan Cox win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $8.84
Potential payout: $10.11
Potential profit: $1.26
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $1.36

Yes position

Will Adrian Boafo be the Democratic nominee for MD-05?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $7.93
Potential payout: $10.11
Potential profit: $2.17
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $0.45

Yes position

Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 66%
Current value: $6.66
Potential payout: $10.08
Potential profit: $3.43
Multiplier: 1.52x
User PnL: -$0.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: $169.45

Yes position

Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 98.6%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $96.56

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.91

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25

Over position

Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.08

Joao Fonseca position

Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.33

Philadelphia Phillies position

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.53

B8 position

Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.51

FURIA position

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.08

Argentina position

Spread: Argentina (-2.5)

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.82

Aryna Sabalenka position

Grass Court Championships: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.57

Yes position

Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.53

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.3

Yes position

Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.15

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.73

UNO MILLE position

Counter-Strike: Galorys vs UNO MILLE (BO3) - CCT South America Series 2 Playoffs

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.63

Bushido Wildcats position

Counter-Strike: Hashiras vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #3 Play-In

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6

Rebels Gaming position

Counter-Strike: Rebels Gaming vs HAVU (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stage

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.87

Frances Tiafoe position

Stuttgart Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Frances Tiafoe

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.38

Over position

Games Total: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.96

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96.2%
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $4.89

Over 2.5 position

Ignacio Buse vs. Tommy Paul: Total Sets O/U 2.5

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.88

Monte position

Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.7

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?

Yes 93% 101.78 shares
France vs. Iraq: O/U 3.5

Over 65% 20.25 shares
Alexander Sørloth: 1+ goals

Yes 28% 20.43 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?

Yes 42% 101.79 shares
France vs. Iraq: O/U 3.5

Over 58% 20.26 shares
World Cup: Messi to Score a Free Kick?

Yes 25% 20.48 shares
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House

Yes 37% 102.7 shares
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Yes 25.1% 302.85 shares
Will Ecuador finish last in Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

Yes 10.1% 51.37 shares
Will Japan finish second in Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

Yes 62% 20.23 shares
Will Alexander Sørloth score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 53% 10.15 shares
Will Martin Ødegaard score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 41% 10.2 shares