Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.06
- Potential payout
- $123.81
- Potential profit
- $123.75
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.42
Polymarket Trader
wethermarket
0xcff5bbe4767f9d08d839cf7402214152310cd25f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $26.72
- Realized PnL
- $1.85
- Win rate
- 33.3%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 6
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.05
- Potential payout
- $96.19
- Potential profit
- $96.14
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.91
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.03
- Potential payout
- $50.7
- Potential profit
- $50.67
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.09
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $0.61
- Potential payout
- $42.21
- Potential profit
- $41.6
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- -$1.93
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.4%
- Current value
- $16.07
- Potential payout
- $41.84
- Potential profit
- $25.77
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- $13.87
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Current value
- $3.93
- Potential payout
- $12.88
- Potential profit
- $8.95
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- $1.09
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $1.99
- Potential payout
- $12.86
- Potential profit
- $10.87
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- $0.4
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $3.97
- Potential payout
- $8.73
- Potential profit
- $4.76
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- $2.66
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $5.79
- Potential profit
- $5.78
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.97
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C or below on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.8
- Potential profit
- $2.8
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 42°C or higher on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.8
- Potential profit
- $2.8
- Multiplier
- 1000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 8°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.78
- Potential profit
- $2.78
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.2%
- Multiplier
- 2.55x
- User PnL
- $4
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 500.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 10?Yes 20.2% 26.58 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on July 10?Yes 6% 18.36 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 10?Yes 6% 18.36 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on July 10?Yes 8% 21.31 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on July 10?Yes 4.9% 23.28 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on July 10?Yes 4.6% 21.72 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on July 10?Yes 0.1% 12.5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on July 10?Yes 0.8% 179.16 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 10?Yes 22% 4.7 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on July 10?Yes 4.7% 21.72 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 10?Yes 22% 5.72 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on July 10?Yes 1.9% 114.59 shares