Polymarket Trader

exelite

0xcff7b5922b9eb13fbdf2a1ff6f2541c095c62fb1

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $498.39
Realized PnL: -$97.78
Win rate: 28.6%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 21
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will annual inflation be 3.9% in June?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $51.23
Potential payout: $379.5
Potential profit: $328.27
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$30.72

Yes position

Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between -4% and -2% in May?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $69.91
Potential payout: $263.8
Potential profit: $193.89
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: $14.51

No position

Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $3.00 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 76%
Current value: $81.46
Potential payout: $107.19
Potential profit: $25.73
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $11.48

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $57.8
Potential payout: $57.95
Potential profit: $0.14
User PnL: $32.66

Yes position

Will Goldman Sachs (GS) Q2 investment banking fees be above $2.85B?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 35.5%
Current value: $17.85
Potential payout: $50.27
Potential profit: $32.42
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: $1.59

No position

Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 70%
Current value: $30.8
Potential payout: $44
Potential profit: $13.2
Multiplier: 1.43x
User PnL: $1.1

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $43.56
Potential profit: $43.56
User PnL: -$24.82

No position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $23.46
Potential payout: $31.07
Potential profit: $7.61
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: -$0.03

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $30.98
Potential payout: $31
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $12.29

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $1.56
Potential payout: $28.42
Potential profit: $26.86
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$12.78

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 65.5%
Current value: $18.41
Potential payout: $28.11
Potential profit: $9.7
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: -$0.56

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $26.06
Potential profit: $26.03
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$14.63

Yes position

Will Micron Q3 DRAM revenue be above $29B?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 77.4%
Current value: $17.29
Potential payout: $22.34
Potential profit: $5.05
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: -$0.99

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $22
Potential profit: $21.99
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$7.03

No position

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 62.5%
Current value: $13.75
Potential payout: $21.99
Potential profit: $8.25
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: -$0.11

No position

Will Goldman Sachs (GS) Q2 investment banking fees be above $2.85B?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 64.5%
Current value: $13.93
Potential payout: $21.6
Potential profit: $7.67
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: $1.4

No position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 56%
Current value: $11.28
Potential payout: $20.15
Potential profit: $8.87
Multiplier: 1.79x
User PnL: $0.81

No position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $8.43
Potential payout: $19.83
Potential profit: $11.4
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: -$0.3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 76%
Current value: $14.82
Potential payout: $19.5
Potential profit: $4.68
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $3.71

No position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 64%
Current value: $11.3
Potential payout: $17.66
Potential profit: $6.36
Multiplier: 1.56x
User PnL: $0.35

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 30%
Current value: $4.8
Potential payout: $16
Potential profit: $11.2
Multiplier: 3.33x
User PnL: -$2.4

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 23°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $15.5
Potential profit: $15.49
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$6.22

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 36%
Current value: $5.4
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $9.6
Multiplier: 2.78x
User PnL: -$0

No position

Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 97.5%
Current value: $13.89
Potential payout: $14.24
Potential profit: $0.36
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $6.32

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.28

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.84

Yes position

Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 32.5%
Multiplier: 3.08x
User PnL: $1.1

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C or below on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.44

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $0.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Philadelphia Phillies position

Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Berhanu Nega be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.18

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.25

No position

Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between -4% and -2% in May?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 73.5%
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: -$2.5

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.61

No position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5.05

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$14.69

No position

Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in June?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 62.5%
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: -$14.99

No position

Will Cícero Lucena win the Governor of Paraíba election?

Ends Oct 5, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: -$16.5

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$54.87

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 18?

No 33% 21.4 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 19?

No 54% 22 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 18?

No 12% 41.4 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on June 18?

No 91.3% 30.3 shares
Will Berhanu Nega be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?

No 98.9% 101 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?

Yes 99.8% 85.93 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?

No 0.1% 299.96 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 45.6% 11.78 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 84.9% 11.78 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 84.7% 23.8 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 82.5% 17.56 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 81.6% 17.76 shares