Polymarket Trader

Darkingbr1

0xcffa726fe4754606b28010fff115b069e6bcc45f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $11.88
Realized PnL: -$11.8
Win rate: 66.7%
Open positions: 6
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 160m?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 86m and 95m?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $2.88
Potential payout: $1.44K
Potential profit: $1.44K
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: -$2.12

Yes position

Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 170m and 180m?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $109.27
Potential profit: $109.27
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.44
Potential profit: $17.44
User PnL: -$15

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $6.03
Potential payout: $6.03
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.03

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 53.5%
Current value: $2.97
Potential payout: $5.56
Potential profit: $2.58
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: -$0.03

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 200m?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4

No position

U.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.94

Yes position

Will Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.14

Yes position

Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.96

Yes position

Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?

Ends Dec 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.68

No position

US forces in Venezuela by November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.57

No position

Will India strike Pakistan by November 30?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.49

Yes position

Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 190m and 200m?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.4

No position

Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87%
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: $0.38

No position

Will Gold close below $4000 at the end of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.3

No position

Will Jesus Christ return in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.17

Yes position

Will "28 Years Later: Bone Temple" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 16m?

Ends Jan 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.06

No position

Maduro out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in November?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Will Marty Supreme make 70 million or more domestically by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on January 17?

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.01

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 39.4%
Multiplier: 2.54x
User PnL: -$0.16

Yes position

Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 101m?

Ends Dec 22, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.84

Yes position

Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Gold close between $4400 and $4500 at the end of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3

No position

Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Gold close below $4000 at the end of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?

Yes 54% 5.56 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?

Yes 86% 17.44 shares
Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 86m and 95m?

Yes 0.3% 1,438.4 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET

Down 82.9% 6.03 shares
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 170m and 180m?

Yes 4.6% 109.27 shares
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 160m?

Yes 0.2% 2,500 shares
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 190m and 200m?

Yes 35.5% 20.83 shares
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 200m?

Yes 22% 50 shares
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 200m?

Yes 14% 50 shares
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 190m and 200m?

Yes 33.6% 20.83 shares
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

No 71% 7.57 shares
Will Marty Supreme make 70 million or more domestically by January 31?

Yes 99.8% 9.02 shares