Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $76
- Potential payout
- $91.02
- Potential profit
- $15.02
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$1.37
Polymarket Trader
0xcFFC0F20eAb978111F4AeeE9816003bfb927D8Fa-1772313138201
0xcffc0f20eab978111f4aeee9816003bfb927d8fa
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $166.98
- Realized PnL
- -$1.32
- Win rate
- 70%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 10
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Current value
- $52.29
- Potential payout
- $89.39
- Potential profit
- $37.1
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- $2.23
No position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Current value
- $22.21
- Potential payout
- $36.72
- Potential profit
- $14.5
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- -$1.29
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $27.81
- Potential profit
- $27.81
- User PnL
- -$5.84
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $9.85
- Potential payout
- $9.85
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.59
Maple Leafs position
Maple Leafs vs. Senators
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.59
- Potential profit
- $9.59
- User PnL
- -$3.26
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $6.62
- Potential payout
- $6.64
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $0.38
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the DHS shutdown end after March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.86
Nuggets position
Raptors vs. Nuggets
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.49
No position
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-07?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.08
No position
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.67
No position
Trump announces tariff for Iran military cooperation by April 17?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.27
No position
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
Pelicans position
Pelicans vs. Pistons
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.39
Yes position
Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 14, 2026?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.44
Capitals position
Capitals vs. Canadiens
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.52
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?No 95.5% 1.23 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 94% 6.64 shares
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 22?No 94% 9.85 shares
- Will Jordan win on 2026-06-07?No 94% 18.06 shares
- Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?No 93% 9.54 shares
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?No 21% 27.81 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 15?No 94% 4.44 shares
- Maple Leafs vs. SenatorsMaple Leafs 34% 9.59 shares
- Trump announces tariff for Iran military cooperation by April 17?No 95% 12.02 shares
- Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 14, 2026?Yes 20% 17.2 shares
- Pelicans vs. PistonsPelicans 36% 9.42 shares
- Will the DHS shutdown end after March 31, 2026?Yes 37.8% 11.03 shares