Yes position
Will Kristi Noem be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $206.39
- Potential profit
- $206.39
- User PnL
- -$63
Polymarket Trader
0xd002E4abd3883e831d5A354265A5a1ABF47043B8-1769842704800
0xd002e4abd3883e831d5a354265a5a1abf47043b8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $337.55
- Realized PnL
- $0
- Win rate
- Unavailable
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 0
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $107.65
- Potential payout
- $190.57
- Potential profit
- $82.92
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- $7.65
Yes position
Natural Disaster in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 26%
- Current value
- $43.52
- Potential payout
- $167.39
- Potential profit
- $123.87
- Multiplier
- 3.85x
- User PnL
- -$33.48
Yes position
Will Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $100
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $15
Yes position
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$65
Yes position
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 8?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $86.38
- Potential payout
- $86.38
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $43.38
No position
Iran strike on Qatar by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $62.5
- Potential profit
- $62.5
- User PnL
- -$50
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No closed positions returned for this trader.
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Natural Disaster in 2026?Yes 46% 167.39 shares
- Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 8?Yes 49.8% 86.38 shares
- Iran strike on Qatar by February 28, 2026?No 80% 62.5 shares
- Will Kristi Noem be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Yes 30.5% 206.39 shares
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 52.5% 190.57 shares
- Will Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?Yes 85% 100 shares
- Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?Yes 65% 100 shares