Polymarket Trader

ulyssebrk

0xd004876add4d37cb1faf450dc8dbdee247db6a78

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $57.88
Realized PnL: $77.14
Win rate: 54.2%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.8%
Current value: $15.12
Potential payout: $80.65
Potential profit: $65.52
Multiplier: 5.33x
User PnL: $5.12

No position

Will the next Grok model released by xAI debut at a score of at least 1450 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $8.75
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $61.25
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: $1.25

No position

1win to win 2-0?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50.52
Potential profit: $50.52
User PnL: -$30

No position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $7.27
Potential payout: $46.88
Potential profit: $39.61
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$0.23

Yes position

Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.43
Potential profit: $21.43
User PnL: -$7.5

Yes position

Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.29
Potential profit: $18.29
User PnL: -$7.5

Team Nemesis position

Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffs

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 52.5%
Current value: $7.72
Potential payout: $14.71
Potential profit: $6.99
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: $0.22

TYLOO position

Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffs

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $6.21
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $8.07
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: $1.21

BetBoom Team position

Counter-Strike: FaZe vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffs

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $7.44
Potential payout: $12.71
Potential profit: $5.28
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: -$0.06

No position

Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 75.1%
Current value: $5.37
Potential payout: $7.15
Potential profit: $1.78
Multiplier: 1.33x
User PnL: $0.37

Resolved Context

Closed positions

G2 Esports position

LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.9

Over position

United States vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.57

EYEBALLERS position

Map Handicap: FaZe (-1.5) vs EYEBALLERS (+1.5)

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.91

Over position

Mexico vs. England: O/U 2.5

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.82

Gentle Mates position

Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group C

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.49

Gentle Mates position

Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Nongshim RedForce - Map 2 Winner

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.03

BIG position

Counter-Strike: B8 vs BIG - Map 2 Winner

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.85

G2 Esports position

LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.01

FaZe position

Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs FaZe (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stage

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.55

BBL Esports position

Valorant: EDward Gaming vs BBL Esports - Map 2 Winner

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.94

MOUZ position

Dota 2: REKONIX vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winner

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.88

FaZe position

Map Handicap: FaZe (-1.5) vs EYEBALLERS (+1.5)

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.44

No position

Will North America (CONCACAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 5.5% and 5.8%?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.01

No position

Will MiniMax have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
User PnL: -$0.01

No position

Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
User PnL: -$0.01

No position

Will Tencent have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
User PnL: -$0.01

No position

Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.5%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: -$0.01

No position

Will ByteDance have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: -$0.02

No position

Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
User PnL: -$0.03

No position

Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
User PnL: -$0.04

No position

Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.9% and 5.2%?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 97.8%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: -$0.04

No position

Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.0% and 4.3%?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 98.6%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: -$0.05

No position

Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: -$0.06

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the next Grok model released by xAI debut at a score of at least 1450 by December 31, 2026?

No 10.7% 70 shares
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs 1win - Game 2 Winner

Virtus.pro 38% 19.74 shares
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs 1win - Game 1 Winner

Virtus.pro 50.1% 14.96 shares
1win to win 2-0?

No 55% 13.64 shares
1win to win 2-0?

No 61% 12.3 shares
1win to win 2-0?

No 61% 12.3 shares
1win to win 2-0?

No 61% 12.3 shares
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs PARIVISION (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group C

Vici Gaming 26.4% 28.44 shares
Dota 2: REKONIX vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winner

MOUZ 80% 9.38 shares
Counter-Strike: Isurus vs UNO MILLE - Map 2 Winner

Isurus 59% 12.71 shares
Counter-Strike: Isurus vs UNO MILLE - Map 2 Winner

Isurus 61.8% 12.14 shares
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs ENCE (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Group C

ENCE 15% 50 shares