No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $2.99K
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $12
- User PnL
- $24
Polymarket Trader
Elsaluxi
0xd013e33031debe66ca0f0be271011b53d78a4a7c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $6.11K
- Realized PnL
- $346.69
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.4%
- Current value
- $1.97K
- Potential payout
- $2.08K
- Potential profit
- $116.7
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$75.02
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $338.81
- Potential payout
- $340
- Potential profit
- $1.19
- User PnL
- $2.55
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $329.51
- Potential payout
- $330
- Potential profit
- $0.5
- User PnL
- $1.49
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $268.15
- Potential payout
- $310
- Potential profit
- $41.85
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$1.55
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $214.89
- Potential payout
- $217.06
- Potential profit
- $2.17
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $7.38
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $99.96
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.5
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.4
No position
Over $1B committed to the Monad public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.2
No position
Over 30,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.6
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $11.09
No position
Over $20M committed to the Infinex public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.93
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- $6.2
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.05
No position
Monad market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- User PnL
- $5.9
No position
Solstice FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.62
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.21
No position
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- User PnL
- $3.1
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $3
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- User PnL
- $2.64
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.55
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $2.5
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $2.4
No position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.9
No position
Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.58
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.53
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.33
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 98% 2,084 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?Yes 94.7% 1,886 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 98.9% 5,500 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No 95% 255 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 93% 142 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes 98.3% 141 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?No 95% 125 shares
- Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in April?No 94.4% 109.56 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No 77% 120 shares
- Netanyahu out by March 31?No 97% 91 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No 97.3% 75 shares
- Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?No 97.6% 100 shares