Yes position
AI bubble burst in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.3%
- Current value
- $48.9
- Potential payout
- $299.99
- Potential profit
- $251.09
- Multiplier
- 6.13x
- User PnL
- -$13.5
Polymarket Trader
muchuan
0xd0243cec07299201dfd5138609e105923f25527e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $48.9
- Realized PnL
- $915.77
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $552.03
No position
Will Trump win no swing states?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $102.19
Yes position
Will a Republican win Nevada Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $93.18
Yes position
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19%
- Multiplier
- 5.26x
- User PnL
- $55.28
No position
Will Opensea launch a token by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.54
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 64.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- $16
No position
Will Ethereum hit $3,000 in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.4
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11
Over position
Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 2.5
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.4
Over position
United States vs. Australia: O/U 1.5
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 5AM ET
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6
Yes position
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.00–$2.25 in May?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.9
No position
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.48
No position
Will Taylor Swift release a new original song by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.8
No position
Will Elon tweet 350 or more times October 11-18?
Ends Oct 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.77
No position
Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during NBC interview?
Ends Dec 8, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.4
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.35
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on August 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.34
No position
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 40% and 60% on August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.26
No position
Will Trump talk to Elon Musk in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.2
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.15
No position
Will Trump and Zelenskyy hug on Monday?
Ends Aug 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05
No position
10+ monkeypox cases in US by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.04
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - July 31, 6AM ET
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?No 76% 11.33 shares
- Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?No 44% 60 shares
- Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.4% 6,200 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 94% 8 shares
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes 25% 899.97 shares
- Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.2% 8,500 shares
- Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 1.5% 3,500 shares
- Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 1.7% 6,000 shares
- Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 4.8% 9.1 shares
- Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.4% 8,500 shares
- Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 3.3% 700 shares
- Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 3% 166.48 shares