Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 22%
- Current value
- $1.88K
- Potential payout
- $8.59K
- Potential profit
- $6.7K
- Multiplier
- 4.56x
- User PnL
- $884.55
Polymarket Trader
believinginsomething
0xd024a6272d39ee47344f392a50f01b7178ec35c0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $8.28K
- Realized PnL
- $4.82K
- Win rate
- 94.7%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 19
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $2.79K
- Potential payout
- $3.09K
- Potential profit
- $293.21
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $293.21
No position
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.59K
- Potential payout
- $1.6K
- Potential profit
- $0.8
- User PnL
- $94.95
Yes position
Will Meteora be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.14K
- Potential profit
- $1.14K
- User PnL
- -$502.43
No position
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.09K
- Potential payout
- $1.09K
- Potential profit
- $0.54
- User PnL
- $41.93
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 37.8%
- Current value
- $338.54
- Potential payout
- $896.8
- Potential profit
- $558.26
- Multiplier
- 2.65x
- User PnL
- -$161.46
Tate position
Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor
Ends Dec 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $856.52
- Potential profit
- $856.52
- User PnL
- -$702.35
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $580.13
- Potential payout
- $641.03
- Potential profit
- $60.9
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $80.13
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $599
- Potential profit
- $599
- User PnL
- -$500
No position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $526.32
- Potential profit
- $526.32
- User PnL
- -$200
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $400
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Over $3M committed to the Infinex public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $384.62
- Potential profit
- $384.62
- User PnL
- -$250
Yes position
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 100M and 125M views in its first 7 days?
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $211.76
- Potential profit
- $211.76
- User PnL
- -$137.09
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.9K
Yes position
Will Pope Leo XIV rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $854.9
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $720.64
No position
Will Ye say something antisemitic before March?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $270.23
No position
Will Jimmy Kimmel be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $181.19
No position
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $152.87
No position
US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $136.3
No position
Moonbirds FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $104.7
No position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $102.11
No position
Will Russia capture Pokrovka by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $97.69
No position
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.31
Joshua position
Who will win Jake Paul vs Anthony Joshua?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60
No position
Iran Strike on Israel by January 31?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.8
No position
Over $10M committed to the Infinex public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.01
LNG Esports position
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LNG Esports (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivals
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.25
No position
TrumpRX launched by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.04
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.45
No position
5kt meteor strike in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.55
Yes position
Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Meteora be accused of insider trading?Yes 44% 1,142.83 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No 77% 598.99 shares
- Will Russia capture Pokrovka by February 28?No 83.7% 597.69 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No 85% 588.24 shares
- Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?No 94% 1,595.74 shares
- Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?No 96.1% 1,086.1 shares
- Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 100M and 125M views in its first 7 days?Yes 64.7% 211.76 shares
- Starmer out by February 28, 2026?No 86.3% 519.63 shares
- LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LNG Esports (BO5) - LPL Knights RivalsLNG Esports 94.8% 368 shares
- Iran Strike on Israel by January 31?No 94.8% 882.56 shares
- TrumpRX launched by January 31, 2026?No 92.4% 291.51 shares
- Moonbirds FDV above $300M one day after launch?No 90.5% 1,104.7 shares