No position
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 62.5%
- Current value
- $21.88
- Potential payout
- $35
- Potential profit
- $13.13
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- $4.02
Polymarket Trader
0xd028...a961
0xd02836b20f4bb4f32b5871540c30a1c15417a961
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $60.52
- Realized PnL
- $12.76
- Win rate
- 53.8%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 13
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.7%
- Current value
- $20.67
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $4.33
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $8.32
No position
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Current value
- $14.19
- Potential payout
- $22
- Potential profit
- $7.81
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- -$2.53
Yes position
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $0.74
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $6.27
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$0.18
Yes position
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21%
- Current value
- $1.05
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $3.95
- Multiplier
- 4.76x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
No position
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2
- Potential payout
- $2
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.82
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $11.12
Yes position
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.82x
- User PnL
- $1.3
No position
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90%
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $1.24
Yes position
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.72
No position
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
Yes position
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$0.28
Yes position
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Multiplier
- 47.62x
- User PnL
- -$0.68
Yes position
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10%
- Multiplier
- 10.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.94
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?Yes 13% 14 shares
- Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?No 93.4% 5 shares
- Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?No 89% 7 shares
- Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?Yes 90.8% 8 shares
- Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?No 94.2% 8 shares
- U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?Yes 11% 19 shares
- U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?No 80% 5 shares
- Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?No 80% 10 shares
- Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?Yes 20% 34 shares
- Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?No 90.9% 11 shares
- U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?No 80% 11 shares
- U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?Yes 20% 14 shares