Polymarket Trader

stockgold

0xd031722c183f41e80b64a34e0f8bfc0e58bd0ab9

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $826.94
Realized PnL: -$902.19
Win rate: 76.2%
Open positions: 7
Closed positions: 21
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.01K
Potential profit: $2.01K
User PnL: -$1.19K

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $805.2
Potential payout: $880
Potential profit: $74.8
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $39.6

Yes position

Nicolas Sarkozy in jail by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $221.72
Potential profit: $221.72
User PnL: -$7.18

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in October?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $181.38
Potential profit: $181.38
User PnL: -$23.58

No position

Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $14.14
Potential payout: $16.73
Potential profit: $2.59
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $1.42

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $7.61
Potential payout: $8.4
Potential profit: $0.8
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $2.82

Yes position

Will Jason Miyares win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.03
Potential profit: $3.03
User PnL: -$1.76

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $113.71

No position

Macron out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: $19.84

Yes position

Nicolas Sarkozy released from custody by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.09

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.85

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.95

No position

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.31

Yes position

Nicolas Sarkozy in jail by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5

No position

Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with India by November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.19

No position

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.7%
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $3

No position

Macron out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3

No position

Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.64

No position

Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.6

No position

Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.45

No position

Xi Jinping out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.1

No position

Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.02

No position

Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Brazil in October?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.11

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $105,000 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$9.51

Yes position

Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$132

No position

Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$244.42

Yes position

Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$311.32

No position

Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$400.79

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

No 57% 8.4 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

No 55% 9.5 shares
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay

No 76% 16.73 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

No 59% 2,000 shares
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?

Yes 57.4% 2,689.85 shares
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?

Yes 68.9% 2,689.85 shares
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?

No 34.5% 5,381.17 shares
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?

No 44.7% 871.51 shares
Xi Jinping out in 2025?

No 97.5% 400 shares
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?

No 44.1% 1,068.14 shares
Macron out in 2025?

No 97.6% 400 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

No 95% 85 shares