Baldr

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90.91
Potential profit: $90.91
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $66.67
Potential profit: $66.67
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.11
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $55.44
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: -$0.89

Yes position

US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $51
Potential profit: $51
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Syria recognize Israel by June 30?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $31.75
Potential profit: $31.62
Multiplier: 250.00x
User PnL: -$0.87

Yes position

Will Venezuela recognize Israel by June 30?

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $0.32
Potential payout: $27.57
Potential profit: $27.25
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$0.68

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.86
Potential profit: $17.86
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by June 30?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $12.82
Potential profit: $12.77
Multiplier: 250.00x
User PnL: -$0.95

Yes position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Implied probability: 4.1%
Current value: $0.51
Potential payout: $12.66
Potential profit: $12.15
Multiplier: 24.69x
User PnL: -$0.49

Yes position

Epstein client list released in 2025?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.5
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $0.63
Potential payout: $11.49
Potential profit: $10.87
Multiplier: 18.35x
User PnL: -$0.37

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 5, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.36
Potential profit: $11.36
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $2.47
Potential payout: $10.75
Potential profit: $8.28
Multiplier: 4.35x
User PnL: -$1.53

Yes position

Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $0.18
Potential payout: $10.64
Potential profit: $10.46
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$0.82

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 6, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.09
Potential profit: $9.09
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Implied probability: 6.4%
Current value: $0.58
Potential payout: $9.09
Potential profit: $8.51
Multiplier: 15.75x
User PnL: -$0.42

Yes position

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.85
Potential profit: $8.85
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 7, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.33
Potential profit: $8.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.33
Potential profit: $8.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.14
Potential profit: $7.14
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Trump praise Allah again by May 31?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.67
Potential profit: $6.67
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.67
Potential profit: $6.67
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.56

Yes position

US military action against Iran before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.59

Yes position

Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.33

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.1

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.57

No position

Will Finland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.25

No position

Will Australia be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.33

Yes position

Will Trump say "Israel" or "Gaza" 7+ times during Saudi PM events on November 18?

Ends Nov 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.92

Yes position

Will Israel be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.5

Yes position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Implied probability: 5.8%
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: $1.5

Yes position

Will Bulgaria be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.33

Yes position

Will anyone vote "No" to releasing the Epstein files?

Ends Nov 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.13

Yes position

Israel strike on Iran on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.88

No position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.69

No position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.5

Yes position

Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.14

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.5

No position

Will Iran strike Lebanon in March?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.78

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani get more than 70% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by November 30?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?