No position
Netanyahu out by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $4
- Potential payout
- $4
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.07
Polymarket Trader
W6VY6OD6OB
0xd03572934e03ccf4a58af177fb95b963cb6dc3ff
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4
- Realized PnL
- -$2.43
- Win rate
- 29.2%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.12
No position
Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.04
No position
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.99
No position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $0.77
Yes position
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.29
Yes position
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
Eastern Michigan position
Bowling Green vs. Eastern Michigan
Ends Mar 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Celta win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.8%
- Multiplier
- 8.51x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 National League Championship Series?
Ends Nov 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 84%
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
No position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.24
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 39%
- Multiplier
- 2.57x
- User PnL
- -$3.22
The Citadel position
Mercer vs. The Citadel
Ends Feb 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.28
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Celta win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?No 98.8% 214 shares
- Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?No 5.6% 607.22 shares
- Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?No 5.6% 941 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 83.5% 253 shares
- Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes 94.6% 223 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 90.8% 255 shares
- Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 1.2% 508 shares
- Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 96.7% 240 shares
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 39.4% 536 shares
- Netanyahu out by April 30?No 98.4% 217 shares
- Netanyahu out by April 30?No 98.2% 221 shares
- Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 97.3% 89 shares