Polymarket Trader

rocky42023

0xd035fd5f4d6bec4a73dc2fc11fe35c13c3acf165

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $792.52
Realized PnL: $22.68K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $13.12
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.24K
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$6.87

Yes position

Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $10.62
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.24K
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$6.53

Yes position

Pierce Brosnan announced as next James Bond?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.62
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.25K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$13.66

Yes position

Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $9.35
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.24K
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$24

Yes position

Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 8.0% and 9.0%?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.59
Potential payout: $1.18K
Potential profit: $1.18K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3.4

No position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $147.57
Potential payout: $1.18K
Potential profit: $1.03K
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$120.04

Yes position

US strike on Mexico by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 20%
Current value: $207.46
Potential payout: $1.04K
Potential profit: $829.85
Multiplier: 5.00x
User PnL: -$20.33

Yes position

Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 1.0% and 2.0%?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $1.32
Potential payout: $879.85
Potential profit: $878.53
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$16.47

Yes position

Will Nansen launch a token by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 9%
Current value: $75.83
Potential payout: $842.52
Potential profit: $766.69
Multiplier: 11.11x
User PnL: -$130.91

Yes position

Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $7.62
Potential payout: $802.32
Potential profit: $794.7
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$2.82

Yes position

1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.7%
Current value: $21.24
Potential payout: $801.54
Potential profit: $780.3
Multiplier: 37.74x
User PnL: -$19.73

Yes position

Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 2.0% and 3.0%?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $1.57
Potential payout: $786.77
Potential profit: $785.19
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: -$4.59

Yes position

Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $6.25
Potential payout: $734.75
Potential profit: $728.51
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$15.48

Yes position

Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $4.81
Potential payout: $641.27
Potential profit: $636.46
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$1.52

Yes position

Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be 9% or higher?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.31
Potential payout: $620.39
Potential profit: $620.08
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.6

No position

Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $216.87
Potential payout: $549.04
Potential profit: $332.17
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: $77.49

Yes position

Paul Mescal announced as next James Bond?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.26
Potential payout: $519
Potential profit: $518.74
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$9.92

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $5.24
Potential payout: $499.04
Potential profit: $493.8
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: $2.22

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $9.72
Potential payout: $474.05
Potential profit: $464.33
Multiplier: 48.78x
User PnL: -$47.17

Yes position

Will Rick Caruso win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.23
Potential payout: $450.34
Potential profit: $450.12
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$13.44

Yes position

Jack Lowdon announced as next James Bond?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.17
Potential payout: $347
Potential profit: $346.83
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.01

Yes position

Will Jair Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $5.4
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $294.6
Multiplier: 55.56x
User PnL: -$12

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15%
Current value: $45
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $255
Multiplier: 6.67x
User PnL: -$24

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $1.35
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $298.65
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$10.65

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Under position

Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF Monterrey: O/U 2.5

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.3K

No position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?

Ends Nov 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.18K

Magic position

Raptors vs. Magic

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.09K

Over position

Valencia CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 4.5

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.09K

Yes position

Next US strike on Syria on December 19?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.08K

Over position

Crystal Palace FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 4.5

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.05K

Sandro Kopp position

Kigali: Roberto Carballes Baena vs Sandro Kopp

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $991.53

Up position

Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on February 3?

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $964.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 43-44°F on December 4?

Ends Dec 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $942.41

Yes position

Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $907.49

Yes position

Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-03-15?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $897.6

Under position

Mavericks vs. Lakers: O/U 232.5

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $883.43

No position

Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-03-16?

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $878.48

No position

Will Aztec launch a token in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $876.05

Yes position

Will Deportivo Alavés vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $868.67

Over position

Club Santos Laguna vs. CF América: O/U 1.5

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $867.29

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or below on March 4?

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $865.27

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 2, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET

Ends Jan 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $861.46

Yes position

Will SS Lazio win on 2025-12-13?

Ends Dec 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $855.81

Yes position

Will SC Heerenveen win on 2026-02-15?

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $853.63

3DMAX position

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 3DMAX - Map 2 Winner

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $850.68

Yes position

FC Bayern München vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: Both Teams to Score

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $845.71

Yes position

Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Real Oviedo end in a draw?

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $835.35

Yes position

Will SV Darmstadt 98 win on 2026-02-21?

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $832.51

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?

No 60.7% 5 shares
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?

No 62.5% 76 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?

No 97% 34.38 shares
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?

No 46.5% 5 shares
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?

No 46.6% 10 shares
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?

No 57.3% 5 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another Middle East/North Africa country?

Yes 5.1% 5 shares
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?

No 72.5% 43 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?

No 91.2% 20 shares
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?

Yes 9.8% 102 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

No 16.4% 217 shares
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?

No 95.3% 227 shares