Polymarket Trader

MrRobertHouse

0xd0385ab1f5af08f8616413204f9f546bcf1f3142

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $29.52
Realized PnL: $1.02K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $255.52
Potential profit: $255.52
User PnL: -$127.76

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $180.71
Potential profit: $180.71
User PnL: -$90

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$20

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.57
Potential profit: $28.57
User PnL: -$14

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.7%
Current value: $2.44
Potential payout: $17.86
Potential profit: $15.42
Multiplier: 7.33x
User PnL: -$0.56

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16
Potential profit: $16
User PnL: -$8

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk be TIME Person of the Year 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $0.93
Potential payout: $8.85
Potential profit: $7.92
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$1.32

No position

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $0.62
Potential payout: $8.33
Potential profit: $7.71
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$0.38

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8
Potential profit: $8
User PnL: -$3.92

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8
Potential profit: $8
User PnL: -$3.92

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6
Potential profit: $6
User PnL: -$3.06

Yes position

Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $0.98
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.03
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$0.03

No position

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 24%
Current value: $1.04
Potential payout: $4.35
Potential profit: $3.3
Multiplier: 4.17x
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 5.2%
Current value: $0.21
Potential payout: $4
Potential profit: $3.79
Multiplier: 19.42x
User PnL: -$0.79

No position

Will Jordan Bardella be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 17, 2027

Implied probability: 24%
Current value: $0.83
Potential payout: $3.45
Potential profit: $2.62
Multiplier: 4.17x
User PnL: -$0.17

No position

Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $2.89
Potential payout: $3.38
Potential profit: $0.49
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $0.69

No position

New pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $2.94
Potential payout: $3.32
Potential profit: $0.38
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: -$0.06

No position

Will Amazon have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $2.95
Potential payout: $3.26
Potential profit: $0.31
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: -$0.05

No position

Iran Nuke before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.8%
Current value: $3
Potential payout: $3.24
Potential profit: $0.23
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $0

No position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 92.4%
Current value: $2.94
Potential payout: $3.18
Potential profit: $0.24
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: -$0.06

No position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 55.2%
Current value: $1.73
Potential payout: $3.13
Potential profit: $1.4
Multiplier: 1.81x
User PnL: -$1.27

No position

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98%
Current value: $3
Potential payout: $3.06
Potential profit: $0.06
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: -$0

No position

Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $3.03
Potential payout: $3.04
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.03

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $332.47

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $83.03

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.46

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $45.1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.75

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.83

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.52

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.23

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.4

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.4

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $20.66

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $20

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.36

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $14

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.24

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.74

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.24

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.19

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET

Down 88.6% 883.6 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET

Down 51% 883.61 shares
Will Meta acquire TikTok?

No 99.4% 3.04 shares
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?

No 95.6% 3.19 shares
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

No 95% 3.22 shares
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?

No 92% 3.38 shares
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?

No 98.9% 3.16 shares
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?

No 99.1% 3.16 shares
Will GameStop acquire eBay?

No 87% 3.69 shares
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by December 31?

No 82.9% 4.56 shares
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?

No 85% 4.4 shares
U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by June 30?

No 96.7% 3.95 shares