No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.67K
- Potential profit
- $3.67K
- User PnL
- -$1.77K
Polymarket Trader
Underdarkus
@GoddessYuliaPet
0xd03cf97f1e631608883334b509fb57ee254068cf
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.73K
- Realized PnL
- $12.99K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 22
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.78K
- Potential profit
- $2.78K
- User PnL
- -$1.47K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.54K
- Potential profit
- $2.54K
- User PnL
- -$1.31K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.53K
- Potential profit
- $2.53K
- User PnL
- -$850
Yes position
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $43.79
- Potential payout
- $1.72K
- Potential profit
- $1.68K
- Multiplier
- 39.37x
- User PnL
- -$6.21
Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.1%
- Current value
- $1.38K
- Potential payout
- $1.7K
- Potential profit
- $320.75
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $276.62
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $155.56
- Potential payout
- $1.64K
- Potential profit
- $1.48K
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$144.44
Yes position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $99.4
- Potential payout
- $1.53K
- Potential profit
- $1.43K
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$114.6
Yes position
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $230.31
- Potential payout
- $1.24K
- Potential profit
- $1.01K
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$131.24
Yes position
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $206.48
- Potential payout
- $1.18K
- Potential profit
- $973.41
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$43.52
Yes position
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $35.25
- Potential payout
- $542.3
- Potential profit
- $507.05
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$28.75
Yes position
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 36%
- Current value
- $171.23
- Potential payout
- $475.65
- Potential profit
- $304.42
- Multiplier
- 2.78x
- User PnL
- -$18.77
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $405.56
- Potential profit
- $405.56
- User PnL
- -$219
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $2.12
- Potential payout
- $352.84
- Potential profit
- $350.72
- Multiplier
- 166.67x
- User PnL
- -$106.91
Yes position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 62.5%
- Current value
- $215.81
- Potential payout
- $345.29
- Potential profit
- $129.48
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- $36.26
Yes position
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14%
- Current value
- $41.88
- Potential payout
- $299.16
- Potential profit
- $257.28
- Multiplier
- 7.14x
- User PnL
- -$25.97
Yes position
Will the US economy be overheating at the end of 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $97.54
- Potential payout
- $224.22
- Potential profit
- $126.68
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- -$23.54
Yes position
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 28%
- Current value
- $31.07
- Potential payout
- $110.96
- Potential profit
- $79.89
- Multiplier
- 3.57x
- User PnL
- -$17.82
Yes position
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $104.34
- Potential profit
- $104.34
- User PnL
- -$55.6
Yes position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11%
- Current value
- $11.15
- Potential payout
- $101.33
- Potential profit
- $90.18
- Multiplier
- 9.09x
- User PnL
- -$4.35
Yes position
Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 23%
- Current value
- $11.52
- Potential payout
- $50.1
- Potential profit
- $38.58
- Multiplier
- 4.35x
- User PnL
- $1
Yes position
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $0.4
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $39.6
- Multiplier
- 100.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.4
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US-China trade deal before June?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.53K
Yes position
India military action against Pakistan before June?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.45K
No position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.1K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $852.55
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $655.55
Yes position
Trump ends all military aid to Ukraine before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $587.41
Yes position
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $559.88
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $412.77
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $319.67
No position
Will Russia abandon Syrian naval base before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $316.43
Yes position
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk train station by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $187.1
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $175
Yes position
Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $147.5
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $113.83
Yes position
Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $104.49
Yes position
Iran strike on Israel by Friday?
Ends Jun 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $96.61
No position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.75
Yes position
Will Trump impose tariffs on the EU in the first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.16
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.97
Yes position
Trump admin announces cutting Ukraine aid by Friday?
Ends Mar 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.63
No position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.68
No position
Will Ukraine control Demidovka on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.89
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.83
Yes position
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.53
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 2.9% 1,724.14 shares
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 23.8% 226.24 shares
- Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes 52% 345.29 shares
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?Yes 39.9% 475.65 shares
- China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Yes 21.2% 1,179.9 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?No 33% 2,121.21 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 62% 1,145.16 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 99.9% 675.67 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 43% 1,395.35 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 66.5% 1,503.55 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 60% 1,666.67 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No 53.9% 2,784.46 shares