No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $132.63
- Potential profit
- $132.63
- User PnL
- -$126
Polymarket Trader
dfgers
0xd04573c20be08649d072102f8e5f3139a0129e3b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $98.02
- Realized PnL
- $116.75
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Anthropic IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $98.02
- Potential payout
- $126.48
- Potential profit
- $28.46
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- -$3.98
Yes position
Will Vitality win IEM Atlanta 2026?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $28.57
- Potential profit
- $28.57
- User PnL
- -$20
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $92.52
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.9
No position
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.83
Yes position
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.53
Yes position
Will Australia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.7
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.44
No position
US strikes Iran by January 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
US strikes Iran by January 25, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
Yes position
Will Abigail Spanberger win the Virginia Governor Election in 2025
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Musk out as Tesla CEO in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?
Ends Nov 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?
Ends Dec 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
US strikes Iran by February 4, 2026?
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will Tony Finau win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Solana reach $580 before 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
Yes position
Will no CEO be announced in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?
Ends Dec 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 95% 132.63 shares
- Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?Yes 76% 18.51 shares
- Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?Yes 81% 18.52 shares
- Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?Yes 99.5% 15.58 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?No 84% 111.9 shares
- Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?Yes 89.6% 15.58 shares
- Anthropic IPO before 2027?Yes 80.6% 126.48 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 24?No 1.7% 94.12 shares
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?No 99.5% 20.18 shares
- Will Australia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes 96.9% 22.7 shares
- Will Vitality win IEM Atlanta 2026?Yes 70% 28.57 shares
- Starmer out by May 15, 2026?No 92.3% 23.83 shares