Polymarket Trader

0xd054D2C6f00Dcd7E8aF07Aea456b560Da6339E28-1774091462070

0xd054d2c6f00dcd7e8af07aea456b560da6339e28

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $290.32
Realized PnL: $669.23
Win rate: 95.8%
Open positions: 14
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Germany GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.7% and 0.9%?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $239.04
Potential profit: $239.04
User PnL: -$10.92

Yes position

Will Germany GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.2%?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $234.66
Potential profit: $234.66
User PnL: -$9.95

No position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $17.68
Potential payout: $208
Potential profit: $190.32
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$7.28

Yes position

No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $121.52
Potential profit: $121.52
User PnL: -$7.5

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 70.5%
Current value: $75.98
Potential payout: $107.78
Potential profit: $31.8
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: -$13.47

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $70.61
Potential payout: $70.86
Potential profit: $0.25
User PnL: $25.97

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.9%
Current value: $54.1
Potential payout: $55.86
Potential profit: $1.76
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $4.38

No position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?

Ends Aug 18, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $52.2
Potential payout: $55.24
Potential profit: $3.04
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $2.49

Yes position

Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.96
Potential profit: $25.96
User PnL: -$4.99

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $19.74
Potential payout: $25.8
Potential profit: $6.06
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: -$0.13

Yes position

Will Arvell Reese be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.32
Potential profit: $24.32
User PnL: -$14.71

No position

Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.74
Potential profit: $20.74
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.79
Potential profit: $5.79
User PnL: -$1.97

Yes position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.83
Potential profit: $1.83
User PnL: -$0.49

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Wolves finish in last place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $254.61

Yes position

Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $120.13

Yes position

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74.55

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.75

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.14

Yes position

Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.91

Yes position

Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.94

Yes position

Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the May meeting?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.37

Yes position

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.8

No position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.88

No position

Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.46

No position

Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.55

No position

Will Burnley finish in last place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.65

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.09

Yes position

Will Jeremiyah Love go top 10 in the 2026 Pro Football draft?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

Yes position

No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

Yes position

Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.11

No position

Will Casey Putsch win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.09

Yes position

Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the April meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.08

Yes position

Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.07

No position

Will the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the April meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Will Fernando Mendoza be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

Yes position

Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q1 2026 be less than 0.5%?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.35

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Yes 7.8% 261.68 shares
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Yes 7.8% 7.69 shares
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Yes 7.8% 22.22 shares
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Yes 7.8% 6.87 shares
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Yes 26.2% 6.87 shares
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Yes 27% 22.22 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

No 80.7% 86.41 shares
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Yes 24% 200 shares
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Yes 25% 200 shares
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?

No 85% 275.86 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?

Yes 12.6% 384.61 shares
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?

No 89.3% 7.35 shares