Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20%
- Current value
- $14.52K
- Potential payout
- $72.59K
- Potential profit
- $58.07K
- Multiplier
- 5.00x
- User PnL
- -$21.78K
Polymarket Trader
0xD054e72B9E7995a6900AA8ceD24DcfbD12007e38-1771157416749
0xd054e72b9e7995a6900aa8ced24dcfbd12007e38
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $99.03K
- Realized PnL
- $69.77K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 80%
- Current value
- $58.07K
- Potential payout
- $72.59K
- Potential profit
- $14.52K
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $21.78K
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $10.21K
- Potential payout
- $11.8K
- Potential profit
- $1.59K
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $1.79K
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10%
- Current value
- $1.08K
- Potential payout
- $10.85K
- Potential profit
- $9.76K
- Multiplier
- 10.00x
- User PnL
- -$850.34
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $3K
- User PnL
- -$240
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $3K
- User PnL
- -$2.83K
No position
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Current value
- $53.64
- Potential payout
- $2.9K
- Potential profit
- $2.85K
- Multiplier
- 54.05x
- User PnL
- -$101.26
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.77K
- Potential profit
- $2.77K
- User PnL
- -$1.81K
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.65K
- Potential profit
- $2.65K
- User PnL
- -$212.16
No position
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $1.12K
- Potential payout
- $2.35K
- Potential profit
- $1.24K
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- -$265.98
No position
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Current value
- $1.41K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $590
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- -$110
No position
Iran leadership change by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $1.98K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $19
- User PnL
- $361
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $1.99K
- Potential payout
- $1.99K
- Potential profit
- $6.98
- User PnL
- $232.21
No position
Iran leadership change by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $1.3K
- Potential payout
- $1.56K
- Potential profit
- $256.73
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $442.09
No position
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Current value
- $366
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $834
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- $80
No position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $1.19K
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $9.6
- User PnL
- $386.4
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.8%
- Current value
- $18.19
- Potential payout
- $1.01K
- Potential profit
- $992.38
- Multiplier
- 55.56x
- User PnL
- -$113.18
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $905.01
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $95
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $115
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $992
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $8
- User PnL
- $92
No position
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Current value
- $929.18
- Potential payout
- $944.77
- Potential profit
- $15.59
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $415.91
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.9%
- Current value
- $694.79
- Potential payout
- $904.08
- Potential profit
- $209.3
- Multiplier
- 1.30x
- User PnL
- $227.56
No position
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $778.5
- Potential payout
- $900
- Potential profit
- $121.5
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $31.5
No position
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 70%
- Current value
- $629.99
- Potential payout
- $899.99
- Potential profit
- $270
- Multiplier
- 1.43x
- User PnL
- -$39
No position
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $793.98
- Potential payout
- $799.98
- Potential profit
- $6
- User PnL
- $136
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.44K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.87K
No position
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.6K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.19K
No position
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.65K
No position
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.12K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.5K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.47K
No position
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.22K
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.71K
No position
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.45K
No position
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.3K
No position
US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.25K
No position
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.1K
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.98K
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.5K
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.35K
No position
Iran leadership change by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.18K
No position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.17K
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.12K
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $922.68
No position
Iran leadership change by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $918.01
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $883.63
No position
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $877.17
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 94.3% 200 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?Yes 0.2% 5.4 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?No 98.5% 199.82 shares
- Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?No 9% 399.97 shares
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No 91.2% 2,000 shares
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No 90.9% 2,000 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?No 80% 86.44 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 64% 1,000 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?No 52% 100 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?No 50% 11.5 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?Yes 52% 500 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 33% 775.99 shares