Polymarket Trader

Amontish08

0xd05b910921d464ac010050c1231b57ed9154237f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $110.82
Realized PnL: -$144.93
Win rate: 13.3%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 15
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7.8%
Current value: $43.06
Potential payout: $555.56
Potential profit: $512.5
Multiplier: 12.90x
User PnL: -$6.94

No position

Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $291.89
Potential profit: $291.89
User PnL: -$9.07

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $21.11
Potential payout: $222.22
Potential profit: $201.11
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: $1.11

Yes position

Cristiano Ronaldo: 3+ goals

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $178.57
Potential profit: $178.57
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Exact Score: Colombia 2 - 0 Portugal?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 3.9%
Current value: $4.98
Potential payout: $129.45
Potential profit: $124.47
Multiplier: 25.97x
User PnL: -$0.02

Yes position

Vitinha: 2+ goals

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100.58
Potential profit: $100.58
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $95.24
Potential profit: $95.24
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 52.5%
Current value: $41.67
Potential payout: $79.37
Potential profit: $37.7
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: -$8.33

Yes position

Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $47.62
Potential profit: $47.62
User PnL: -$10

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?

Ends Dec 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $118.24

Yes position

Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?

Ends Dec 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?

Ends Dec 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?

Ends Dec 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?

Ends Dec 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?

Ends Dec 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?

Ends Dec 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?

Ends Dec 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$58.19

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Exact Score: Colombia 2 - 0 Portugal?

Yes 3.9% 129.45 shares
Vitinha: 2+ goals

Yes 6% 100.58 shares
Cristiano Ronaldo: 3+ goals

Yes 5.6% 178.57 shares
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?

Yes 3.7% 29.99 shares
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?

Yes 3.1% 321.88 shares
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?

Yes 21% 95.24 shares
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 63% 79.37 shares
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw?

Yes 21% 47.62 shares
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?

Yes 23% 253 shares
Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 50% 400 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 9% 555.56 shares
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?

Yes 35% 184.32 shares