Polymarket Trader

Fire13

0xd063422a28763b6ce0b2640f27867ed1e3555ccd

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.34K
Realized PnL: $12.42K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Over $250M committed to the Monad public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.97K
Potential profit: $4.97K
User PnL: -$3.2K

No position

Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 9.2%
Current value: $435.37
Potential payout: $4.76K
Potential profit: $4.32K
Multiplier: 10.93x
User PnL: $187.95

No position

Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.17K
Potential profit: $3.17K
User PnL: -$362.63

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $245.33
Potential payout: $1.82K
Potential profit: $1.57K
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$495.94

No position

Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.68K
Potential profit: $1.68K
User PnL: -$933.62

No position

Arc FDV above $800M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $643.85
Potential payout: $1.55K
Potential profit: $907.59
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: $425.97

No position

Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 36%
Current value: $444.08
Potential payout: $1.23K
Potential profit: $789.47
Multiplier: 2.78x
User PnL: $68.14

No position

Will Predict.fun launch a token by June 30, 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 25.1%
Current value: $306.09
Potential payout: $1.22K
Potential profit: $913.39
Multiplier: 3.98x
User PnL: $91.44

No position

Arc FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 11%
Current value: $110
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $890
Multiplier: 9.09x
User PnL: $10

No position

Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $422.7
Potential profit: $422.7
User PnL: -$138.92

Yes position

No airdrop in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $303
Potential profit: $303
User PnL: -$45.15

No position

Will Papertrade launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $18.3
Potential payout: $281.55
Potential profit: $263.25
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$116.03

Yes position

Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $254.78
Potential profit: $254.78
User PnL: -$97.04

No position

Will Pacifica launch a token by December 31 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 63.5%
Current value: $109.7
Potential payout: $172.76
Potential profit: $63.06
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: $72.29

Yes position

Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $118.7
Potential profit: $118.7
User PnL: -$2.73

No position

Multipli.fi FDV above $20M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 53.5%
Current value: $24.08
Potential payout: $45
Potential profit: $20.93
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: $13.48

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Another US military action against Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.21K

Yes position

Iran x Israel conflict ends before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.14K

No position

Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $927.73

Yes position

Nothing Ever Happens: Airdrops Edition

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $867.48

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $857.12

No position

US x Iran ceasefire before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $713.78

No position

Monad market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $683.19

No position

Israel strikes Iran before 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $576.91

No position

Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 71%
Multiplier: 1.41x
User PnL: $359.94

No position

Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $359.11

No position

Trump and Elon publicly reconcile before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $345.67

No position

Over $300M committed to the Monad public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $342.59

No position

Monad market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $339.69

No position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $322.75

No position

Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $320.02

No position

Trump and Elon publicly reconcile by Friday?

Ends Jun 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $286.05

Yes position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $271.65

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $269.15

No position

Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $254.65

No position

Israel strikes Iran before August?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $251.98

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $240.37

No position

Will Oro launch a token by December 31, 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 41.5%
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: $171.88

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $157.37

Yes position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $153.65

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Pacifica launch a token by December 31 2026?

No 72% 8.31 shares
Arc FDV above $800M one day after launch?

No 17% 406.31 shares
Arc FDV above $1B one day after launch?

No 39.1% 177 shares
Will Pacifica launch a token by December 31 2026?

No 64% 21.21 shares
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?

No 5.2% 4,758.12 shares
Cap FDV above $100M one day after launch?

No 28% 190.19 shares
Cap FDV above $50M one day after launch?

No 16% 436.13 shares
Will Pacifica launch a token by December 31 2026?

No 67% 120 shares
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?

No 87.1% 24.62 shares
Will Papertrade launch a token by December 31, 2026?

No 47.7% 281.55 shares
Will Predict.fun launch a token by June 30, 2027?

No 17.6% 1,219.48 shares
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?

Yes 1.3% 153.12 shares