Polymarket Trader

0xd066...2932

0xd0666aba64dcc62f6f9c8eb655e4fbca19912932

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $29.24
Realized PnL: -$3.97
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 8
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will GameStop acquire eBay?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $13.27
Potential payout: $106.13
Potential profit: $92.87
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$2.65

No position

Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 35%
Current value: $4.24
Potential payout: $12.15
Potential profit: $7.9
Multiplier: 2.86x
User PnL: $1.24

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 22.2%
Current value: $1.74
Potential payout: $7.87
Potential profit: $6.13
Multiplier: 4.51x
User PnL: -$0.26

Anthropic position

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $3.33
Potential payout: $4.41
Potential profit: $1.08
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $0.33

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $1.6
Potential payout: $3.77
Potential profit: $2.17
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: -$0.4

Yes position

Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 66.5%
Current value: $2.02
Potential payout: $3.03
Potential profit: $1.02
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $2.07
Potential payout: $2.78
Potential profit: $0.71
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $0.07

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $0.97
Potential payout: $1.22
Potential profit: $0.25
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: -$0.03

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.34

Yes position

Will Jose Mourinho be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.27

Yes position

Will Cursor be acquired before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.63

Yes position

Will Trump say "NVIDIA" this week?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.3

Yes position

Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.52

Yes position

Will Trump say "Hantavirus" this week?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1490?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$6

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?

No 24.7% 12.15 shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 72% 2.78 shares
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

No 82% 1.22 shares
Will Trump say "NVIDIA" this week?

Yes 87% 2.3 shares
Will Trump say "Hantavirus" this week?

Yes 44% 4.55 shares
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Anthropic 68% 4.41 shares
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Yes 58% 10.34 shares
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Yes 66% 3.03 shares
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 25.4% 7.87 shares
Will GameStop acquire eBay?

Yes 15% 106.13 shares
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?

Yes 37% 4 shares
Will Jose Mourinho be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?

Yes 66.3% 3.77 shares