Polymarket Trader

harv3ster

0xd06bb091b19ee1072f54a99375b3901ad0c2823a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $40.16
Realized PnL: -$5.45
Win rate: 14.3%
Open positions: 22
Closed positions: 7
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $360
Potential profit: $360
User PnL: -$1.39

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.75
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $299.25
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: $0.45

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.15
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $299.85
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $270
Potential profit: $270
User PnL: -$0.56

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.39
Potential payout: $260
Potential profit: $259.61
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $0.13

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $255
Potential profit: $254.87
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.37

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $249.88
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.13

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.38
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $249.63
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $0.13

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.38
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $249.63
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $0.13

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $1.28
Potential payout: $170.01
Potential profit: $168.73
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: $0.95

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 25.3%
Current value: $16.41
Potential payout: $65
Potential profit: $48.59
Multiplier: 3.96x
User PnL: $15.71

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.12
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $59.88
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 6.2%
Current value: $3.08
Potential payout: $50.02
Potential profit: $46.94
Multiplier: 16.26x
User PnL: $2.6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $0.78
Potential payout: $50.01
Potential profit: $49.23
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: $0.57

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $0.58
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.43
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: $0.42

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.27
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.73
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: $0.12

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 8.9%
Current value: $2.67
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $27.33
Multiplier: 11.24x
User PnL: $2.34

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $0.64
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $29.36
Multiplier: 46.73x
User PnL: $0.49

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 15.6%
Current value: $4.67
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $25.34
Multiplier: 6.43x
User PnL: $4.34

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $29.87
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 4.8%
Current value: $1.43
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $28.58
Multiplier: 21.05x
User PnL: $1.22

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 58.2%
Current value: $5.82
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $4.18
Multiplier: 1.72x
User PnL: $5.61

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.91

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 0.1% 1,000 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 1% 50 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 1.1% 50 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 1.1% 70 shares