Yes position
Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $475
- Potential payout
- $50K
- Potential profit
- $49.53K
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- $75
Polymarket Trader
talkytalky
0xd070cbc42c07fb17e934b2fdc4163d4356bbe377
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $584.7
- Realized PnL
- $1.7K
- Win rate
- 61.1%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 18
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.9K
- Potential profit
- $2.9K
- User PnL
- -$558.51
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.5K
- User PnL
- -$494.99
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.3K
- Potential profit
- $1.3K
- User PnL
- -$532.98
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $900
- Potential profit
- $900
- User PnL
- -$243
Yes position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $63
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $537
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$81
Yes position
Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $27.5
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $472.5
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$97.5
Yes position
US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.8%
- Current value
- $19.2
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $380.8
- Multiplier
- 20.83x
- User PnL
- -$92.8
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.54K
Yes position
Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $496.4
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $264
Raptors position
Hawks vs. Raptors
Ends Jan 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $176
Raptors position
Raptors vs. Trail Blazers
Ends Jan 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $176
No position
Trump invokes War Powers against Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $152
Spurs position
Hawks vs. Spurs
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $150
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $90
No position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.73
Raptors position
Wizards vs. Raptors
Ends Nov 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20
Yes position
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10
No position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$114
Grizzlies position
Grizzlies vs. Lakers
Ends Jan 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$160
Yes position
Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$180
Suns position
Suns vs. Heat
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$196
Arizona position
Arizona vs. SMU Mustangs
Ends Jan 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$196
No position
Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$234
No position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$344
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 28% 70.07 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?No 23% 1,700 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ETUp 55% 196.94 shares
- Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?No 19% 492.23 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?No 33% 211.7 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?No 41% 125.88 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes 99.9% 2,000 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No 56% 600 shares
- Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?Yes 10% 1,800 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes 23% 2,000 shares
- Trump invokes War Powers against Iran by January 31, 2026?No 24% 200 shares
- Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes 15% 16.56 shares