No position
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Current value
- $54.45
- Potential payout
- $90
- Potential profit
- $35.55
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- $9.45
Polymarket Trader
0xd07a...ecee
0xd07ae658f3b2d92f189d49622b2f1dc2d2dbecee
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $83.03
- Realized PnL
- -$21.54
- Win rate
- 14.3%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 7
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91%
- Current value
- $11.83
- Potential payout
- $13
- Potential profit
- $1.17
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $1.04
No position
Will Ian Noel Smyth win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $9
- Potential payout
- $9
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.06
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $6
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.35
Yes position
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 35%
- Current value
- $1.75
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $3.25
- Multiplier
- 2.86x
- User PnL
- $0.6
No position
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2
- Potential profit
- $2
- User PnL
- -$0.44
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
Yes position
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.14
Yes position
Discord IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.62x
- User PnL
- -$0.44
Yes position
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.93
Yes position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 48%
- Multiplier
- 2.09x
- User PnL
- -$2.09
Yes position
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- -$8.2
No position
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8.8
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2026?Yes 94.2% 6 shares
- Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes 53.1% 34 shares
- Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?No 83% 13 shares
- Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?Yes 39% 6 shares
- Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?No 22% 12 shares
- Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?Yes 79% 17 shares
- Discord IPO before 2027?Yes 73.4% 6 shares
- OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?Yes 23% 15 shares
- Will Ian Noel Smyth win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?No 99.3% 17 shares