No position
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7%
- Current value
- $62.5
- Potential payout
- $892.85
- Potential profit
- $830.35
- Multiplier
- 14.29x
- User PnL
- -$62.5
Polymarket Trader
aplsy
0xd0969648b94ec95a88c7b22c63ba098c490cde63
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $62.5
- Realized PnL
- -$478.91
- Win rate
- 13.3%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 15
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.82
Yes position
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 25.3%
- Multiplier
- 3.96x
- User PnL
- $0.1
Y
Yes position
Will Trump attend 2 World Cup matches?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Ends Oct 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the Philadelphia Phillies clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?
Ends Sep 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 17%
- Multiplier
- 5.88x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Messi and Ronaldo Shake Hands During World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.1%
- Multiplier
- 10.99x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the Arizona Diamondbacks clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?
Ends Sep 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.7%
- Multiplier
- 5.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
No position
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- -$5.65
Yes position
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$8.4
Yes position
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 5, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8.6
N
No position
Will Glean's valuation hit (LOW) $6.5B by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 17%
- Multiplier
- 5.88x
- User PnL
- -$11.5
N
No position
Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$32.89
Yes position
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- -$43.15
Yes position
Will Dan Barker win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?
Ends Jul 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Multiplier
- 250.00x
- User PnL
- -$369.58
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Glean's valuation hit (LOW) $6.5B by July 31?No 5% 23.46 shares
- Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?No 14% 99.99 shares
- Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?No 18% 30 shares
- Will Dan Barker win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?Yes 0.2% 2,323.75 shares
- Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?No 11% 3.59 shares
- Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?No 10.6% 16 shares
- Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?No 11% 8.84 shares
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31?Yes 19% 275 shares
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31?Yes 20% 45 shares
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31?Yes 21% 66.66 shares
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31?Yes 22% 30 shares
- Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes 32.1% 99.92 shares