Polymarket Trader

phantomlbx

0xd097b801a34a54e502740a484b6af6586c6378f9

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.92
Realized PnL: -$31.78
Win rate: 75%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 12
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.9K
Potential profit: $5.9K
User PnL: -$241.9

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.06K
Potential profit: $1.06K
User PnL: -$130

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $750
Potential profit: $750
User PnL: -$10

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $615.14
Potential profit: $615.14
User PnL: -$22.51

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $449.32
Potential profit: $449.32
User PnL: -$19.23

Yes position

Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $1.92
Potential payout: $384.25
Potential profit: $382.33
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: -$48.08

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $376.93
Potential profit: $376.93
User PnL: -$28

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 8 and June 14, 2026?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $294.72
Potential profit: $294.72
User PnL: -$160

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 21 to February 23, 2026?

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$26

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $64.1
Potential profit: $64.1
User PnL: -$25

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $56
Potential profit: $56
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.5
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.22

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.68

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $11.69

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.7

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.73

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$152

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET

Down 40% 12.5 shares
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 8 and June 14, 2026?

Yes 54.3% 294.72 shares
GPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026?

Yes 12.3% 1,060.7 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET

Down 63% 39.68 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET

Up 86.6% 42.37 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET

Up 59% 42.37 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET

Down 8.9% 56 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET

Down 39% 64.1 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET

Up 2% 250 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET

Down 63% 4.67 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET

Down 3% 513.85 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET

Down 7% 29.86 shares