Polymarket Trader

KD0417

0xd0b1cdc3be1ceb9f006ebfd6a632a4792262542e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $64.3
Realized PnL: $30.33
Win rate: 85.7%
Open positions: 20
Closed positions: 21
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $228.74
Potential profit: $228.74
User PnL: -$6

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $186.67
Potential profit: $186.67
User PnL: -$10

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $166.67
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 9%
Current value: $8.57
Potential payout: $95.22
Potential profit: $86.65
Multiplier: 11.11x
User PnL: -$1.12

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80.83
Potential profit: $80.83
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.47
Potential profit: $27.47
User PnL: -$10

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.15
Potential profit: $15.15
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will England reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 38.5%
Current value: $5.78
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $9.23
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: -$0.97

No position

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 26, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.6%
Current value: $14.49
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $0.51
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $8.64

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.71
Potential profit: $14.71
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.71
Potential profit: $14.71
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.71
Potential profit: $11.71
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $9.72
Potential payout: $11.36
Potential profit: $1.65
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: -$0.28

No position

Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $2.65
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $7.35
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: -$1.45

No position

Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 68.2%
Current value: $6.82
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $3.18
Multiplier: 1.47x
User PnL: $2.39

No position

Will Iran win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 88.4%
Current value: $8.84
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $1.16
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: -$0.05

No position

Will Canada win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $4.05
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $5.95
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: -$2.95

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 12%
Current value: $0.7
Potential payout: $5.81
Potential profit: $5.12
Multiplier: 8.33x
User PnL: -$4.3

No position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $1.91
Potential payout: $3.51
Potential profit: $1.6
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: -$0.09

No position

Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 43%
Current value: $0.78
Potential payout: $1.82
Potential profit: $1.04
Multiplier: 2.33x
User PnL: -$0.22

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.83

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.33

No position

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 38°C on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.29

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on June 12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.25

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.99

No position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.88

No position

Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 48.5%
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: $1.7

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.67

No position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.59

No position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.57

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.49

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.49

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.39

No position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on June 11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.29

No position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.97

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.79

No position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,400 by end of June? (copy)

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.1%
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.11

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: -$1.4

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 24?

No 10.2% 95.22 shares
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,400 by end of June? (copy)

No 95% 10.63 shares
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?

No 55% 1.82 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 24?

No 86% 5.81 shares
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 55% 10 shares
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

No 57% 3.51 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET

Up 34% 14.71 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET

Up 33% 15.15 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET

Up 6.2% 80.83 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET

Up 5.4% 186.67 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET

Down 3% 166.67 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET

Up 36.4% 27.47 shares