No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $189
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $11
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $73
Polymarket Trader
jollyjoes
@JillGuo10
0xd0bf9166bd0a939103bdd91f0f00d06a8118b759
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.08K
- Realized PnL
- $889.2
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$92.8
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $181
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $19
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $17
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $177
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $23
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $19
No position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $23
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $177
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$41
Yes position
Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Current value
- $127
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $73
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- $1
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $102.97
- Potential payout
- $199.95
- Potential profit
- $96.98
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- $22.99
No position
Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $150
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $0.8
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $99.2
- Multiplier
- 125.00x
- User PnL
- -$30.2
Yes position
Will Resni.ca (Res) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$13
Yes position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by April 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$43
Yes position
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$56
Yes position
Will 'Kiss All The Time. Disco, Occasionally' - Harry Styles debut week album sales be at least 550k?
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$67.5
Yes position
Will Lori Chavez-DeRemer be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$57
Yes position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on April 24?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$49
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $82.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $17.5
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $18.5
Yes position
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $84.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $15.5
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $12.5
No position
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 52%
- Current value
- $52
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $48
- Multiplier
- 1.92x
- User PnL
- $14
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$23
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$36
No position
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $710 on April 24?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$56
No position
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$51
N
No position
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $57.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $42.5
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- $7.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $119.98
Yes position
Will Spirit win PGL Astana 2026?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69
Yes position
Will "Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.75
No position
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.96
Yes position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44
Yes position
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37
No position
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.7% in March?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37
Yes position
S&P 500 breaks its losing streak this week?
Ends Apr 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36
Yes position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $90 on June 1?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36
Yes position
Will Russia capture Rodynske by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.5
Yes position
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.48
No position
QatarEnergy resumes LNG production by March 14?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32
No position
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 29?
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.2
No position
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $28.2
No position
Will annual inflation increase by 3.2% in March?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27
Yes position
Will BW Industrial Holdings not IPO before June 2026?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.07
No position
Will there be at least 1600 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.06
Yes position
Will Encore Medical not IPO before June 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.5
Yes position
Will Tatiana Auguste win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23
Yes position
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on June 1?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22
No position
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 men's singles tournament at the Miami Open?
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Mike Collins be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?Yes 92.1% 100 shares
- Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?Yes 99.2% 100 shares
- Argentina leading at halftime?Yes 51% 20 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Yes 62.5% 199.98 shares
- Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?Yes 98.6% 60 shares
- Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?No 92.5% 78.49 shares
- Will Encore Medical not IPO before June 2026?Yes 82% 50 shares
- Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?No 31.8% 200 shares
- Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?No 81% 40 shares
- Will there be at least 1600 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?No 99.1% 50 shares
- OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?No 66% 20 shares
- Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?Yes 51% 20 shares