Polymarket Trader

EltS

0xd0c6d5086f0490aa9a7f312b65e4310b398ad465

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $78.01
Realized PnL: $53.12
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?

Ends Mar 31, 2028

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $11.75
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $38.25
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$4.25

Yes position

Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in July be at least 95 mph?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 32.5%
Current value: $16.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $33.75
Multiplier: 3.08x
User PnL: -$3.75

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $49.4
Potential profit: $49.4
User PnL: -$41

No position

Will Justin Bieber perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $6.72
Potential payout: $38.4
Potential profit: $31.68
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: -$21.28

Yes position

Will Falcons make a roster change before August?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 2.8%
Current value: $0.56
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.44
Multiplier: 35.71x
User PnL: -$3.44

Yes position

Will Reppo launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will City Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 28%
Current value: $5.6
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $14.4
Multiplier: 3.57x
User PnL: -$6.4

Yes position

Will Aaron Judge win the 2026 American League Hank Aaron Award?

Ends Nov 13, 2026

Implied probability: 3.2%
Current value: $0.63
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.37
Multiplier: 31.75x
User PnL: -$6.31

No position

Will "Trump" be said 10+ times during the next episode of the Storytime with the Second Lady Podcast?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85.2%
Current value: $17.04
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $2.96
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: -$1.64

Yes position

Will Loopscale launch a token by December 31, 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 67%
Current value: $13.4
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $6.6
Multiplier: 1.49x
User PnL: -$3.6

Yes position

Will Palo Alto Networks Q3 Next-Generation Security ARR be above $8.5B?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$5.2

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.33
Potential profit: $13.33
User PnL: -$7.88

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.04
Potential profit: $13.04
User PnL: -$10.04

Yes position

Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,089,000 and $1,125,000 on September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 52.5%
Current value: $5.25
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $4.75
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: $0.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 19%
Current value: $0.81
Potential payout: $4.25
Potential profit: $3.44
Multiplier: 5.26x
User PnL: $0.3

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4
Potential profit: $4
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Daddy Yankee perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 97.9%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $16.62

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-07-01?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.37

Yes position

Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.63

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.85

Yes position

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.76

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.21

No position

Will Trump say "Tariff" 5+ times during Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.5

No position

Will Afghanistan recognize Israel by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $1

Yes position

Will William Saliba be in France's Starting 11?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.96

No position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.8

No position

Will Kroger Q1 identical sales without fuel growth be below 1%?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.8

No position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.6

No position

Will Trump meet with Changpeng Zhao in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 77%
Multiplier: 1.30x
User PnL: $0.6

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.6

Yes position

Will MagicBlock launch a token by June 30, 2027?

Ends Jul 1, 2027

Implied probability: 87.8%
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $0.6

Yes position

California Tax Spend Audit Proposition

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 54.5%
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: $0.6

Yes position

Will there be exactly 1 North Korea test in July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 62.5%
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: $0.6

Yes position

Will KaBuM! IDL win CD 2026 Split 1?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.52

Yes position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder be the 2027 NBA Western Conference Champion?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 34%
Multiplier: 2.94x
User PnL: $0.5

Yes position

Will RIKU Dining Group Ltd not IPO before June 2026?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.4

Yes position

Tread FDV above $80M one day after launch

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 34%
Multiplier: 2.94x
User PnL: $0.4

Yes position

Will General Mills Q4 organic net sales growth be between 0% and 1.5%?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.4

No position

Ethereal FDV above $25M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 19.5%
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: $0.4

No position

Tread FDV above $80M one day after launch

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 66%
Multiplier: 1.52x
User PnL: $0.4

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?

Yes 88% 20.28 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?

Yes 69% 20.29 shares
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?

Yes 26% 8.6 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 14°C on July 4?

Yes 26% 3.9 shares
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on July 4?

No 62% 20 shares
Will Andy Eads win the 2026 Denton County Judge election?

No 11% 20 shares
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 32°C on July 3?

No 81% 1.8 shares
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on July 3?

No 57% 5.09 shares
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 32°C on July 3?

No 83% 6 shares
Will England win on 2026-07-01?

Yes 93% 20.83 shares
Will England win on 2026-07-01?

Yes 48% 20.83 shares
Will New York Yankees win the 2026 American League Championship Series?

Yes 31.9% 11.99 shares