Polymarket Trader

851nbn

@VThom4535

0xd0d36106dc2cf5a600825b906b23184a9f01ad75

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $40.11
Realized PnL: $51.17
Win rate: 84.2%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 19
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Raptors position

Raptors vs. Clippers

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.1K
Potential profit: $7.1K
User PnL: -$2.7K

Heat position

Heat vs. 76ers

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.7K
Potential profit: $3.7K
User PnL: -$1.63K

No position

US forces enter Iran by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.01K
Potential profit: $1.01K
User PnL: -$60.64

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $68.66
Potential profit: $68.66
User PnL: -$4.81

No position

Will Getafe win on 2025-11-28?

Ends Nov 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$28.5

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $34.6
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $5.4
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $1

Bucks position

Bucks vs. Pistons

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$4.5

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19%
Current value: $5.51
Potential payout: $29.07
Potential profit: $23.56
Multiplier: 5.28x
User PnL: $0.51

Blue Jackets position

Blue Jackets vs. Sharks

Ends Jan 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$11

Blues position

Blues vs. Oilers

Ends Jan 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$7.4

Up position

Solana Up or Down on January 10?

Ends Jan 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$1.6

Commanders position

Broncos vs. Commanders

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$5.8

Suns position

Thunder vs. Suns

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.99
Potential profit: $19.99
User PnL: -$3.8

Kings position

Clippers vs. Kings

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1.2

UCLA position

Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. UCLA

Ends Nov 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.89
Potential profit: $5.89
User PnL: -$2.89

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Timberwolves position

Timberwolves vs. Nuggets

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.2

No position

Will CA Barracas Central win on 2025-11-17?

Ends Nov 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.4

Spurs position

Knicks vs. Spurs

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9

Bulls position

Bulls vs. Hawks

Ends Dec 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.7

Pistons position

Pelicans vs. Pistons

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.5

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $3.38

No position

Will Scotland win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.34

No position

100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.05

No position

Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.88

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.4

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.4

No position

Maduro out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.39

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: $0.33

No position

Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,400 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: $0.16

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.09

No position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,800 by end of February?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 99.4%
User PnL: $0

No position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.04

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$2.06

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,400 by end of June?

No 99.1% 20.34 shares
Will Scotland win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 89.6% 14.9 shares
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,400 by end of June?

No 98.3% 20.35 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 81.1% 24.66 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?

No 97.4% 20.53 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 17.2% 29.07 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?

No 98.3% 5.09 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?

No 98% 20 shares
Pelicans vs. Pistons

Pistons 65% 10 shares
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

No 99.1% 224.01 shares
Heat vs. 76ers

Heat 44% 3,700 shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Yes 7% 68.66 shares