Polymarket Trader

manda1984

0xd0e05be3b63af1dc7dbf121a4b88c6079210a7f6

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $69.89
Realized PnL: $2.54K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 4
Closed positions: 6
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will voter turnout be 51-54% in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $5.91
Potential payout: $472.83
Potential profit: $466.92
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: $5.44

Yes position

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 13.8%
Current value: $47.71
Potential payout: $347
Potential profit: $299.29
Multiplier: 7.27x
User PnL: -$1.45

Yes position

Will voter turnout be 60%+ in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3%
Current value: $7.97
Potential payout: $265.78
Potential profit: $257.81
Multiplier: 33.33x
User PnL: $6.79

Yes position

Will voter turnout be 54-57% in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.1%
Current value: $8.29
Potential payout: $204.69
Potential profit: $196.4
Multiplier: 24.69x
User PnL: $7.03

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 0-5%?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 33.5%
Multiplier: 2.99x
User PnL: $2.19K

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 5-10%?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 64.5%
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: $152.06

Yes position

Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 2%
Multiplier: 50.00x
User PnL: $132.17

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 10-15%?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: $39.06

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 15%+?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Multiplier: 41.67x
User PnL: $23.47

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 97.5%
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $6.3

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Yes 99% 630 shares
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 0-5%?

Yes 98% 32.19 shares
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Yes 98% 80 shares
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Yes 98% 550 shares
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Yes 12% 485 shares
Will voter turnout be 60%+ in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Yes 0.6% 65.6 shares
Will voter turnout be 60%+ in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Yes 0.5% 82.19 shares
Will voter turnout be 60%+ in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Yes 0.4% 33.21 shares
Will voter turnout be 60%+ in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Yes 0.3% 74.14 shares
Will voter turnout be 60%+ in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Yes 0.2% 10.64 shares
Will voter turnout be 54-57% in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Yes 0.9% 9.98 shares
Will voter turnout be 54-57% in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Yes 0.7% 6 shares