Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $3.72K
- Potential payout
- $4.46K
- Potential profit
- $735.35
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $11.35
Polymarket Trader
Tmcnul01
0xd0e5d54e6a884bf5c7232e15ecc426708948b40b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $5.56K
- Realized PnL
- $671.11
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $305.89
- Potential payout
- $531.99
- Potential profit
- $226.09
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- -$94.11
No position
Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $526.34
- Potential payout
- $526.6
- Potential profit
- $0.26
- User PnL
- $13.38
Yes position
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $385.43
- Potential profit
- $385.43
- User PnL
- -$307
No position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.1%
- Current value
- $317
- Potential payout
- $330.03
- Potential profit
- $13.04
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $17
No position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $210.71
- Potential payout
- $238.1
- Potential profit
- $27.38
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $10.71
No position
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 96.7%
- Current value
- $186.6
- Potential payout
- $193.06
- Potential profit
- $6.47
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $36.6
No position
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $132.47
- Potential payout
- $133.33
- Potential profit
- $0.87
- User PnL
- $32.47
Yes position
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.6%
- Current value
- $50.13
- Potential payout
- $126.58
- Potential profit
- $76.46
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $50.88
- Potential payout
- $58.82
- Potential profit
- $7.94
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $0.88
Yes position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $47.03
- Potential profit
- $47.03
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $38.61
- Potential profit
- $38.61
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
OpenAI IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $8.23
- Potential payout
- $32.26
- Potential profit
- $24.03
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- -$1.77
Yes position
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be at least 600k?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $28.09
- Potential profit
- $28.09
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Current value
- $5.92
- Potential payout
- $26.32
- Potential profit
- $20.39
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- -$9.08
N
No position
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3%
- Current value
- $0.78
- Potential payout
- $26.14
- Potential profit
- $25.36
- Multiplier
- 33.33x
- User PnL
- -$19.22
Yes position
Will Drake feature Travis Scott on ICEMAN?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25.64
- Potential profit
- $25.64
- User PnL
- -$10
Khamzat Chimaev position
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24.39
- Potential profit
- $24.39
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.08
- Potential payout
- $17.86
- Potential profit
- $17.78
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$4.92
Yes position
Anthropic IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $11.74
- Potential payout
- $15.15
- Potential profit
- $3.41
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $1.74
Yes position
Will Drake feature Young Thug on ICEMAN?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.93
- Potential profit
- $14.93
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 90%
- Current value
- $11.79
- Potential payout
- $13.11
- Potential profit
- $1.32
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $1.79
Yes position
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $11.1
- Potential payout
- $12.99
- Potential profit
- $1.88
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $1.1
Yes position
Will "The Odyssey" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 57%
- Current value
- $7.18
- Potential payout
- $12.6
- Potential profit
- $5.42
- Multiplier
- 1.75x
- User PnL
- -$2.82
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $485.75
No position
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.85
Yes position
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.37
No position
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.38
Yes position
Will Scottie Scheffler finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 Augusta National Invitational?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.44
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.8
Suns position
Warriors vs. Suns
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.9
No position
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.11
Yes position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.43
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.65
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.89
Yes position
Will Drake feature Future on ICEMAN?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.45
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.08
Yes position
Will Drake release a surprise album?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
Lakers position
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.88
Knicks position
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Knicks vs. Hawks
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.15
No position
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.68
No position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $0.14
Yes position
Will SpaceX acquire Cursor by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Drake feature Lil Yachty on ICEMAN?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8.44
Yes position
Will Drake feature Sexyy Red on ICEMAN?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8.59
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$8.82
Yes position
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will "The Odyssey" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes 79.4% 12.6 shares
- Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?No 76.5% 26.14 shares
- Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 83% 1,204.82 shares
- Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?No 77.7% 193.06 shares
- Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 83% 1,807.23 shares
- Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes 39.5% 126.58 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 99.9% 7,907.19 shares
- OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?Yes 57% 26.32 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 82.1% 18.27 shares
- Will SpaceX acquire Cursor by December 31, 2026?Yes 83% 48.19 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?Yes 72% 13.89 shares
- Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes 76.3% 13.11 shares