Polymarket Trader

crystalballxyz

0xd0eac395d5118d707bd5bf152b1d10f862c13ce8

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $312.93
Realized PnL: $200.04
Win rate: 95.7%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 23
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.1%
Current value: $22.43
Potential payout: $553.79
Potential profit: $531.36
Multiplier: 24.69x
User PnL: -$9.69

No position

Will Justin Bieber perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 46.5%
Current value: $68.57
Potential payout: $147.47
Potential profit: $78.9
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: -$8.11

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.1
Potential profit: $83.1
User PnL: -$36.56

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $74.86
Potential profit: $74.86
User PnL: -$20.99

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.36
Potential profit: $71.36
User PnL: -$29.97

Yes position

Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 43m?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $67.77
Potential profit: $67.77
User PnL: -$28.42

Yes position

Will Sholdon Daniels be the Republican Nominee for TX-30?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $60
User PnL: -$9.6

No position

Will Barbara Kirkmeyer win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $49.64
Potential payout: $54.25
Potential profit: $4.61
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $21.43

Yes position

Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $51.28
Potential payout: $51.56
Potential profit: $0.28
User PnL: $25.92

No position

Another GTA VI trailer released by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $39.62
Potential payout: $48.02
Potential profit: $8.4
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $10.32

Yes position

Will Julie Johnson be the Democratic nominee for TX-33?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $44.74
Potential profit: $44.74
User PnL: -$12.53

Yes position

Will Core CPI YoY be 2.8% in May?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $43.15
Potential profit: $43.15
User PnL: -$22.01

No position

Will Waymo operate in 7 cities on June 30 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $9.09
Potential payout: $42.28
Potential profit: $33.19
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: -$17.21

Yes position

Foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3%
Current value: $1.16
Potential payout: $39.29
Potential profit: $38.13
Multiplier: 33.90x
User PnL: -$9.45

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $11.74
Potential payout: $28.99
Potential profit: $17.25
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: $0.53

No position

Will Jared Kushner attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 94%
Current value: $26.07
Potential payout: $27.73
Potential profit: $1.66
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $17.75

No position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $25.39
Potential payout: $25.63
Potential profit: $0.24
User PnL: $13.18

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.12
Potential profit: $25.12
User PnL: -$12.06

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.76
Potential profit: $24.76
User PnL: -$13.62

Yes position

Will X Æ A-Xii be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.37
Potential profit: $24.37
User PnL: -$8.58

Yes position

Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.25–$2.50 in May?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.46
Potential profit: $22.46
User PnL: -$11.01

No position

Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 36.5%
Current value: $7.96
Potential payout: $21.8
Potential profit: $13.84
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: -$1.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21
Potential profit: $21
User PnL: -$16.02

Yes position

Will Russia enter Havrylivka by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.06
Potential profit: $18.06
User PnL: -$1.41

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will "Masters of the Universe" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 27m and 30m?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.78

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 5?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.35

Yes position

Will any flight depart from Imam Khomeini International Airport by June 8?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.1

Yes position

Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 102m?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.27

No position

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.05

Yes position

Starmer out by June 22, 2026?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9

Yes position

Will voter turnout be between 85% and 90% in the 2026 Maltese general election?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.95

No position

Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.74

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.27

Yes position

Will annual inflation be 4.2% in May?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.7

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.14

Yes position

Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.09

Yes position

Will Google Gemini score at least 45% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.29

Yes position

Will Chris Rabb be the Democratic nominee for PA-03?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.18

Yes position

Will WhiteHawk Minerals' market cap be between $675M and $750M at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.64

Yes position

Will Bob Brooks be the Democratic nominee for PA-07?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.19

Yes position

Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.91

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.48

No position

Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by April 21?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.07

Yes position

Will Forhad Hussain win the 2026 London Borough of Newham mayoral election?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.71

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Forhad Hussain win the 2026 London Borough of Newham mayoral election?

Yes 49% 3.36 shares
Will Bob Brooks be the Democratic nominee for PA-07?

Yes 57% 10 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?

Yes 48% 25.12 shares
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?

Yes 51% 12.54 shares
Foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30?

Yes 27% 39.29 shares
Will Russia enter Havrylivka by April 30, 2026?

Yes 7.8% 18.06 shares
Will Julie Johnson be the Democratic nominee for TX-33?

Yes 28% 26.32 shares
Will Julie Johnson be the Democratic nominee for TX-33?

Yes 28% 18.42 shares
Will Google Gemini score at least 45% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?

Yes 47% 5.31 shares
Weed rescheduled by December 31?

Yes 51.5% 5 shares
Will Google Gemini score at least 45% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?

Yes 39% 4.07 shares
Will Sholdon Daniels be the Republican Nominee for TX-30?

Yes 16% 60 shares