Yes position
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $588.24
- Potential profit
- $588.24
- User PnL
- -$100
Polymarket Trader
jmz
0xd0ed7b7922b8bb47943cf9e6ef7e16d74c2282e5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $367.14
- Realized PnL
- $432.27
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
GOP wins popular vote by 6-7%?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $230
- Potential profit
- $230
- User PnL
- -$3.68
No position
Don Lemon sentenced to prison?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 89.9%
- Current value
- $148.29
- Potential payout
- $164.95
- Potential profit
- $16.66
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- -$1.71
Yes position
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $149.25
- Potential payout
- $149.25
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $49.25
No position
Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $69.6
- Potential payout
- $75.24
- Potential profit
- $5.64
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $6.4
No position
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $71.9
- Potential profit
- $71.9
- User PnL
- -$59.17
Yes position
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Ends Jun 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $62.5
- Potential profit
- $62.5
- User PnL
- -$50
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Ends Jun 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $120
Yes position
Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.91
No position
Trump positive favorability on inauguration day?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.89
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.55
No position
Will DOGE hit 69¢ by Inauguration Day?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.6
No position
Will Trump replace Hegseth with DeSantis by Friday?
Ends Dec 6, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.72
No position
Will a Democrat win Texas in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.89
No position
Will a Republican win New Hampshire in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.35
No position
Will Trump Media acquire a crypto exchange in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.1
Yes position
Pete Hegseth confirmed as Secretary of Defense?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.43
Yes position
Bitcoin above $60,000 on August 16?
Ends Aug 16, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.87
No position
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by Friday?
Ends Nov 15, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.8
Yes position
Will Kash Patel be Trump's FBI director?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.76
No position
Will Trump announce withdrawal from Syria in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.26
No position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 7?
Ends Feb 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.07
No position
Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration?
Ends Jan 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.6
No position
Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.57
Yes position
Will Ukraine hold Kursk through 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.53
No position
Will Trump say "Bitcoin" during Elon interview?
Ends Aug 23, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.37
No position
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.06
No position
Will MrBeast buy TikTok before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.91
Trump position
Favorite to win on Polymarket on Friday?
Ends Sep 6, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.75
No position
Will Trump sell shares of DJT in September?
Ends Sep 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.72
No position
Ye banned on X in February?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.58
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026?No 84% 75.24 shares
- Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?Yes 67% 149.25 shares
- Don Lemon sentenced to prison?No 90.9% 164.95 shares
- Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?Yes 17% 588.24 shares
- Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?No 81% 37.16 shares
- Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?Yes 80% 62.5 shares
- Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?Yes 20% 150 shares
- Will MrBeast buy TikTok before July?No 98.3% 61.14 shares
- Will Trump announce withdrawal from Syria in first 100 days?No 92.6% 56.41 shares
- U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico before May?Yes 2.8% 174.33 shares
- Trump abolishes IRS in 2025?No 91% 42.86 shares
- Will DOGE sell FBI headquarters before June?No 94% 73.4 shares