Polymarket Trader

XRPisSH8T

0xd0f1c48f7eb486764bd48eff644f7e66a73a6712

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $172.31K
Realized PnL: $76.81K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 22
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

150k position

Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.34K
Potential profit: $28.34K
User PnL: -$4.92K

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.48K
Potential profit: $26.48K
User PnL: -$12.31K

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 96.1%
Current value: $23.52K
Potential payout: $24.49K
Potential profit: $967.26
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $4.43K

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $20.87K
Potential payout: $23.06K
Potential profit: $2.19K
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $5.73K

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $9.65K
Potential payout: $20.32K
Potential profit: $10.67K
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: $1.58K

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 70.5%
Current value: $13.87K
Potential payout: $19.67K
Potential profit: $5.8K
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: $1.79K

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $10.34K
Potential payout: $17.09K
Potential profit: $6.75K
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: $654.12

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $4.77K
Potential payout: $15.66K
Potential profit: $10.88K
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: -$5.09K

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 82%
Current value: $12.34K
Potential payout: $15.05K
Potential profit: $2.71K
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: $997.18

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 96%
Current value: $13.66K
Potential payout: $14.23K
Potential profit: $569.21
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $3K

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 96.4%
Current value: $13.41K
Potential payout: $13.92K
Potential profit: $507.9
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $2K

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 95%
Current value: $12.33K
Potential payout: $12.98K
Potential profit: $648.88
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $2.37K

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 96.8%
Current value: $10.16K
Potential payout: $10.5K
Potential profit: $341.19
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $1.13K

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 97.3%
Current value: $9.85K
Potential payout: $10.12K
Potential profit: $273.31
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $890.55

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $6.16K
Potential payout: $6.96K
Potential profit: $800.83
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $427.91

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $5.14K
Potential payout: $5.61K
Potential profit: $477.21
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $29.62

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $2.68K
Potential payout: $3.06K
Potential profit: $382.27
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $15.29

No position

Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 6,000 in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $2.89K
Potential payout: $2.9K
Potential profit: $14.5
User PnL: $739.5

No position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.22K
Potential profit: $2.22K
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.21K
Potential profit: $2.21K
User PnL: -$1.26K

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 97.1%
Current value: $687.09
Potential payout: $707.98
Potential profit: $20.89
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $25.84

Tate position

Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor

Ends Dec 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $129.59
Potential profit: $129.59
User PnL: -$113.26

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.23K

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.55K

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $130K in August?

Ends Sep 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.95K

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.59K

Yes position

Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?

Ends May 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.33K

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.79K

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.08K

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.61K

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.15K

Gold position

First to 5k: Gold or ETH?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.09K

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $130K in September?

Ends Oct 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.9K

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.65K

No position

XRP all time high by January 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.28K

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.13K

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $100k in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.13K

No position

Will Hyperliquid hit $70 in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1K

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $877.39

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $815.14

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $635.57

No position

Will Ethereum hit $3000 by Friday?

Ends Feb 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $465

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 54.5%
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: $439.26

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by February 28, 2025?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $437.03

No position

Will MicroStrategy hold 680k+ BTC by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $353.23

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $320.33

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?

No 91% 1,460.53 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

No 99.9% 6,737.2 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

No 37.1% 6,737.2 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Yes 61.4% 6,548.11 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Yes 67.9% 1,636.19 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Yes 63.5% 1,785.36 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

No 17.4% 6,460.8 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Yes 80% 3,126.57 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

No 28.1% 7,743.74 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

No 17.6% 14,204.55 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

No 16.5% 4,752.34 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

No 71.9% 390 shares