Polymarket Trader

babygu

0xd0fc5836a6a0154ac7de963fb3f5d121d25716b5

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $141.98
Realized PnL: $1.44K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 14
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $21
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.98K
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$13

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $42.3
Potential payout: $291.73
Potential profit: $249.43
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$57.7

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 8%
Current value: $8.75
Potential payout: $110
Potential profit: $101.26
Multiplier: 12.58x
User PnL: $6.54

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 38.5%
Current value: $38.45
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $61.55
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: $21.35

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $82.69
Potential profit: $82.69
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $31.48
Potential payout: $74.07
Potential profit: $42.59
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: -$8.52

Yes position

Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.46
Potential profit: $38.46
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.03
Potential profit: $27.03
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.99
Potential profit: $22.99
User PnL: -$5.06

No position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.52
Potential profit: $21.52
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.83
Potential profit: $20.83
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.08
Potential profit: $14.08
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1.6

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $119.61

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $110.4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $92

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $91.4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84.58

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.81

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79.54

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $72.04

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.77

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.55

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.32

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.96

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $53.79

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.18

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.64

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.52

Yes position

Will Balendra “Balen” Shah be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.27

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.34

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.31

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $30.76

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $30.67

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $27.7

Yes position

Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.92

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $26.18

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Lionel Messi: 1+ goals

Yes 99.9% 20 shares
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Austria?

Yes 1.8% 142.85 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?

Yes 81% 14.7 shares
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Austria?

Yes 7% 142.86 shares
Lionel Messi: 1+ goals

Yes 50% 20 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?

Yes 68% 14.71 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Yes 67% 14.93 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Yes 9% 55.29 shares
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?

Yes 13% 38.46 shares
Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?

Yes 22% 22.99 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Yes 73% 27.4 shares
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 15?

Yes 32% 5 shares