Polymarket Trader

xuxinwei

0xd10348ea27d9c70479ff3bfc7fb2210cecca9b91

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $64.63
Realized PnL: $97.21
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 17
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $105
Potential profit: $105
User PnL: -$7.35

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 3.8%
Current value: $3.99
Potential payout: $105
Potential profit: $101.01
Multiplier: 26.32x
User PnL: $2.94

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $105
Potential profit: $105
User PnL: -$6.3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 13.1%
Current value: $13.7
Potential payout: $105
Potential profit: $91.3
Multiplier: 7.66x
User PnL: $7.4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $105
Potential profit: $105
User PnL: -$0.79

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1.4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $4.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $95.5
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$1.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $7.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $92.5
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$3.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$2.1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $99.99
User PnL: -$3.8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $15.5
Potential payout: $99.98
Potential profit: $84.49
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$1.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 19.6%
Current value: $19.44
Potential payout: $99.16
Potential profit: $79.72
Multiplier: 5.10x
User PnL: $6.64

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93

No position

Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.57

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be 42°F or higher on March 2?

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.37

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on March 17?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.28

Yes position

Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on January 26?

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.27

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C or higher on June 5?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.19

No position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be 55°F or below on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.19

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 8?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.19

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C or higher on April 17?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.19

No position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be 73°F or below on April 1?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.19

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on March 7?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.18

No position

Will "Bridgerton: Season 4" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (February 10)

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.18

No position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.18

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 2?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 6?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

No position

Will the price of XRP be less than $1.60 on January 22?

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.14

No position

Will "Run Away" be the top global Netflix show this week? (January 20, 2026)

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.13

No position

Will the price of XRP be greater than $2.10 on February 9?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 21?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.09

No position

Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 17°C or below on April 28?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.09

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C or below on April 26?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.09

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 8°C on April 23?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.09

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C or below on April 22?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.09

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on April 19?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.09

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Yes 6% 105 shares
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Yes 1% 105 shares
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 0.7% 105 shares
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 7% 60 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 6% 105 shares
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on June 9?

No 99.8% 94.18 shares
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C or higher on June 5?

No 99.8% 94.19 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 2?

No 99.8% 94.15 shares
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 55°F or below on May 27?

No 99.8% 94.19 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 21?

No 99.9% 94.09 shares
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C or below on May 17?

No 99.9% 93.09 shares
Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on May 14?

Yes 99.9% 93.09 shares