Polymarket Trader

pilimili

0xd1049158a102840ce595efc6ab683a0cb6fbacef

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $733.95K
Realized PnL: -$17.83K
Win rate: 57.1%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 14
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $8.75K
Potential payout: $3.5M
Potential profit: $3.49M
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: $1.75K

Yes position

Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $2.25K
Potential payout: $1.5M
Potential profit: $1.5M
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$2.25K

Yes position

Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $3.5K
Potential payout: $1.4M
Potential profit: $1.4M
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$2.1K

Yes position

Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $4.5K
Potential payout: $1M
Potential profit: $995.5K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$500

No position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 85.8%
Current value: $550.2K
Potential payout: $641.64K
Potential profit: $91.43K
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: -$52.34K

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.7%
Current value: $16.96K
Potential payout: $300.2K
Potential profit: $283.24K
Multiplier: 17.70x
User PnL: $850.76

Yes position

Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $3.88K
Potential payout: $250K
Potential profit: $246.13K
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$1.13K

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $3.96K
Potential payout: $240K
Potential profit: $236.04K
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$1.32K

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.1%
Current value: $20.1K
Potential payout: $200K
Potential profit: $179.9K
Multiplier: 9.95x
User PnL: -$481.4

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $36.9K
Potential payout: $200K
Potential profit: $163.1K
Multiplier: 5.42x
User PnL: $4.6K

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $20.9K
Potential payout: $200K
Potential profit: $179.1K
Multiplier: 9.57x
User PnL: -$1K

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.1%
Current value: $22.2K
Potential payout: $200K
Potential profit: $177.8K
Multiplier: 9.01x
User PnL: $5.1K

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.7%
Current value: $13.3K
Potential payout: $200K
Potential profit: $186.7K
Multiplier: 15.04x
User PnL: -$3.6K

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.3%
Current value: $26.5K
Potential payout: $200K
Potential profit: $173.5K
Multiplier: 7.55x
User PnL: -$5.8K

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $52.5
Potential payout: $35K
Potential profit: $34.95K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$32.99K

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.42K

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.78K

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.85K

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.78K

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.18K

No position

Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $681.23

No position

Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
User PnL: $100

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
User PnL: $89.69

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 11?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 98.4%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: -$50

No position

Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: -$78.82

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95.3%
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: -$34.02K

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$34.56K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Israel closes its airspace by June 11?

No 95.6% 5,085.6 shares
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.2% 240,000 shares
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.3% 5,535.39 shares
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.3% 94,463.11 shares
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 8.5% 100,000 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 8.6% 100,000 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 10.2% 100,000 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 10.9% 100,000 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16.1% 100,000 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16.3% 100,000 shares
Israel closes its airspace by June 10?

No 98.5% 3,876.39 shares
Israel closes its airspace by June 10?

No 94.8% 4.72 shares