Polymarket Trader

ggily611a

@jxy121205

0xd11c96ea0a79877eef73e18c4bbfb2b74485ff7d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $5.66K
Realized PnL: $2.51K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 16.7%
Current value: $832.5
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $4.17K
Multiplier: 6.01x
User PnL: -$1.67K

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 83.4%
Current value: $4.17K
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $832.5
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $1.67K

No position

Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $330.84
Potential payout: $333
Potential profit: $2.16
User PnL: -$0.5

No position

Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $330.84
Potential payout: $333
Potential profit: $2.16
User PnL: -$0.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$20

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on May 25?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $209.99
Potential profit: $209.99
User PnL: -$122.51

Yes position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $160
Potential profit: $160
User PnL: -$41.6

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $153.85
Potential profit: $153.85
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C or below on May 7?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $132.41
Potential profit: $132.41
User PnL: -$0.64

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on May 7?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $126
Potential profit: $126
User PnL: -$0.73

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on May 7?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $126
Potential profit: $126
User PnL: -$3.76

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on May 7?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $126
Potential profit: $126
User PnL: -$1.73

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on May 3?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $109
Potential profit: $109
User PnL: -$14.36

Yes position

Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$47

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on May 14?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$77

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$5.9

Yes position

Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $99.99
User PnL: -$17

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $83.33
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.04
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $79.96
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$23.96

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $66.67
Potential profit: $66.67
User PnL: -$2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $66.67
Potential profit: $66.67
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on May 13?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $54.57
Potential profit: $54.57
User PnL: -$2.48

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 500 or more times Jan 3-Jan 10?

Ends Jan 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $254.6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk tweet 800 or more times February 7-14?

Ends Feb 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $138.53

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 250–274 times May 9–16?

Ends May 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $124

No position

Will Elon tweet 350-374 times March 28 - April 4?

Ends Apr 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $122.11

No position

Will Elon tweet less than 300 times Jan 17-24?

Ends Jan 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $119.8

No position

MicroStrategy purchases more Bitcoin before inauguration?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $108

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 150–174 times May 16–23?

Ends May 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $103.9

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 150–174 times April 11–18?

Ends Apr 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $103.31

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 6°C on March 9?

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $102.48

Yes position

Will Elon tweet less than 250 times April 4 - 11?

Ends Apr 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $102.18

Yes position

RFK Jr. confirmed as Health & Human Services Secretary?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $102.05

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 175–199 times June 6–13?

Ends Jun 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $97.77

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 650-674 times Jan 3-Jan 10?

Ends Jan 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $96

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 300-324 times Dec 20-27?

Ends Dec 27, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $95

No position

Will Elon tweet 450-474 times Dec 13-20?

Ends Dec 20, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94.8

No position

Will Elon tweet 500 or more times Dec 20-27?

Ends Dec 27, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $87.59

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 400-449 times Jan 10-17?

Ends Jan 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $87.12

No position

Xi Jinping out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $86.64

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on March 27?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85.05

No position

Will Elon tweet 700-749 times Feb 14-21?

Ends Feb 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $83.76

No position

Will Elon tweet 100–124 times May 23–30?

Ends May 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79.59

Yes position

Will Trump's inaugural address be 20 minutes or more?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.5

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.09

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 650-674 times Jan 31 - Feb 7?

Ends Feb 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.49

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C or below on June 18?

Yes 78.5% 121.41 shares
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on June 18?

Yes 6% 16.66 shares
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on June 18?

Yes 7% 21.01 shares
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on June 18?

Yes 14.2% 76.71 shares
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 18?

Yes 1.2% 67.15 shares
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 18?

Yes 15.5% 63.49 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 18?

No 61.1% 53.34 shares
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 18?

Yes 26% 16.5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on June 18?

Yes 88% 47.39 shares
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on June 18?

No 81.3% 54.45 shares
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 18?

Yes 7.1% 70 shares
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on June 18?

Yes 90% 45 shares