Placidpickerel

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.67K
Potential profit: $1.67K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.25K
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $142.86
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?

Implied probability: 11.1%
Current value: $15.73
Potential payout: $141.72
Potential profit: $125.99
Multiplier: 9.01x
User PnL: -$4.27

Yes position

Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the July interest rate announcement?

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $1.43
Potential payout: $124.53
Potential profit: $123.09
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: $0.43

No position

Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the July interest rate announcement?

Implied probability: 2.7%
Current value: $2.7
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $97.3
Multiplier: 37.04x
User PnL: -$2.3

No position

Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the April meeting?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $83.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the July interest rate announcement?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.12
Potential payout: $76.79
Potential profit: $76.67
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$1.88

Yes position

Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $3.21
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $68.21
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$1.79

No position

Kash Patel out by December 31?

Implied probability: 58%
Current value: $37.98
Potential payout: $65.48
Potential profit: $27.5
Multiplier: 1.72x
User PnL: $22.98

Yes position

Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the July interest rate announcement?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.25
Potential payout: $61.73
Potential profit: $61.48
Multiplier: 250.00x
User PnL: -$4.75

Yes position

Will T.J. Gray win Bull Riding at The American Rodeo 2026 Championship Weekend?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $55.56
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 24, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $54
Potential profit: $54
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Implied probability: 3.8%
Current value: $1.91
Potential payout: $51.02
Potential profit: $49.11
Multiplier: 26.67x
User PnL: -$3.09

Yes position

Will "Michael" score at least 40 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45.29
Potential profit: $45.29
User PnL: -$0.95

Yes position

FDA approves Retatrutide this year?

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $7.14
Potential payout: $43.25
Potential profit: $36.12
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$2.86

Yes position

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by May 4?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $36.7
Potential profit: $36.7
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the June meeting?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.92
Potential profit: $31.92
User PnL: -$4.79

Yes position

Will Sam Petersen win Bareback Riding at The American Rodeo 2026 Championship Weekend?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.57
Potential profit: $28.57
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 26, 2026?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.55
Potential profit: $23.55
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Wacey Schalla win Bull Riding at The American Rodeo 2026 Championship Weekend?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.38
Potential profit: $15.38
User PnL: -$2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.57

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.7

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.37

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.42

Yes position

Will Stetson Wright win Bull Riding at The American Rodeo 2026 Championship Weekend?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.78

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.24

No position

FDA approves Sanofi’s Subcutaneous Sarclisa?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.88

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.2

Yes position

Will Rocker Steiner win Bareback Riding at The American Rodeo 2026 Championship Weekend?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.83

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 19, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.81

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.47

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.23

Yes position

The American Rodeo Championship: Rocker Steiner Repeat?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.23

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.07

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.67

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.55

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.49

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.07

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.13

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.23

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.14

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET