jijitmu

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $40.2
Potential payout: $5.36K
Potential profit: $5.32K
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: $10.82

No position

Elon Musk wins $10b+ settlement against Altman/OpenAI?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.7%
Current value: $2.48K
Potential payout: $2.54K
Potential profit: $58.39
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: -$17.97

Yes position

Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $740b and $760b on June 30?

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $5.89
Potential payout: $1.18K
Potential profit: $1.17K
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: $4.37

Yes position

Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $720b and $740b on June 30?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $3.3
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $1.1K
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: $1.6

Yes position

Macron out by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $4.37
Potential payout: $1.09K
Potential profit: $1.09K
Multiplier: 250.00x
User PnL: -$0.63

Yes position

Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?

Implied probability: 84%
Current value: $749.88
Potential payout: $892.72
Potential profit: $142.83
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: -$8.93

Yes position

Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $760b and $780b on June 30?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.87
Potential payout: $867.15
Potential profit: $866.28
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$0.6

No position

Will Alien arrests in New York hit 4900+ by June 30?

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $801.02
Potential payout: $856.7
Potential profit: $55.69
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $66.44

Yes position

Will Burna Boy perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?

Implied probability: 42%
Current value: $280.39
Potential payout: $667.59
Potential profit: $387.2
Multiplier: 2.38x
User PnL: -$44.42

Yes position

Will David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 17, 2027

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $328.11
Potential payout: $602.03
Potential profit: $273.92
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: $3.27

Yes position

Will Maria Deery win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.3
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $599.7
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$5.7

Yes position

Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $780b and $800b on June 30?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $2.32
Potential payout: $580.59
Potential profit: $578.27
Multiplier: 250.00x
User PnL: $1.48

Yes position

Will Simon Finkelstein win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.28
Potential payout: $553
Potential profit: $552.72
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3.99

Yes position

Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $3.25
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $496.75
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: $0.25

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $11.25
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $488.75
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: $5.75

Yes position

Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?

Implied probability: 8.9%
Current value: $41.96
Potential payout: $474.1
Potential profit: $432.14
Multiplier: 11.30x
User PnL: $10.79

No position

Will Alien arrests in New York hit 4800+ by June 30?

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $410.78
Potential payout: $458.98
Potential profit: $48.19
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $144.58

Yes position

Will Ed Sheeran perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $4.77
Potential payout: $454.43
Potential profit: $449.66
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$7.44

Yes position

Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $4.91
Potential payout: $446.1
Potential profit: $441.19
Multiplier: 90.91x
User PnL: $0.24

No position

Will Shakira perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?

Implied probability: 3.7%
Current value: $15.91
Potential payout: $435.78
Potential profit: $419.87
Multiplier: 27.40x
User PnL: $1.59

No position

Will Claude Code Commits be less than 500.0k on June 30?

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $411.08
Potential payout: $435
Potential profit: $23.93
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $11.08

No position

Will Alien arrests in New York hit 5000+ by June 30?

Implied probability: 95%
Current value: $323.9
Potential payout: $340.95
Potential profit: $17.05
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $42.14

Yes position

Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 35.5%
Current value: $113.27
Potential payout: $319.06
Potential profit: $205.8
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: -$58.31

Yes position

Will Michael Olise be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $2.94
Potential payout: $309.05
Potential profit: $306.12
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$11.28

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.61K

Yes position

Will FC Nantes vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $315.72

Yes position

Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by May 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $217.55

No position

Will Grey Target by Johns sell for $30M or more?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $208.9

Yes position

Pooh Shiesty charged by May 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $164.62

Yes position

Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $5.00 (HIGH) by May 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $149.02

Yes position

Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $5.50 (HIGH) by May 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $141.33

Yes position

Will Danaïde by Brancusi sell for $95M or more?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $125

Under position

FC Nantes vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 2.5

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $123.76

Yes position

Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by June 5?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $111.65

No position

Will Figure's F.03 Robots Run Without Failure Through May 21, 10 PM ET?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100.3

Yes position

Will Trump announce a U.S.-China AI Safety Channel?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99.4

Yes position

Will J Balvin perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?

Implied probability: 4.5%
Multiplier: 22.47x
User PnL: $98.19

Yes position

FDA approves a psychedelic for medical use in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $92.03

Yes position

Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $5.75 (HIGH) by May 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $89.51

Yes position

Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $86

Yes position

Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 25.5%
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: $80.68

No position

Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between 2% and 4% in May?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 87%
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: $79.92

No position

Will the Ornn H100 Index hit $3.30 (HIGH) by May 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.14

Yes position

Will Lille finish in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 2025–26 standings?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.24

Yes position

Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $6.00 (HIGH) by May 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.11

Yes position

Will voter turnout be between 85% and 90% in the 2026 Maltese general election?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.66

Yes position

Will Number 7A by Pollock sell for $125M or more?