No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $3K
- User PnL
- -$9
Polymarket Trader
0xd1309F478Dd45eB9eC7dc23E26590917DF007776-1781624762051
0xd1309f478dd45eb9ec7dc23e26590917df007776
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $187.6
- Realized PnL
- $24.93
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 4
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $1
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $1
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.67K
- Potential profit
- $1.67K
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $11.59
- Potential payout
- $858.33
- Potential profit
- $846.75
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- -$2.61
No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Current value
- $167.99
- Potential payout
- $377.5
- Potential profit
- $209.51
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- $8.7
Yes position
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Current value
- $6.02
- Potential payout
- $227.27
- Potential profit
- $221.25
- Multiplier
- 37.74x
- User PnL
- $1.02
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C or below on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $118
- Potential profit
- $118
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$14
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.9%
- Multiplier
- 4.02x
- User PnL
- $27.86
Yes position
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the July interest rate announcement?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.9%
- Multiplier
- 25.64x
- User PnL
- $0.51
Yes position
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$0.43
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$3
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on June 20?Yes 0.1% 2,000 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?Yes 8% 25 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on June 20?Yes 0.1% 2,000 shares
- Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.4% 216.66 shares
- Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the July interest rate announcement?Yes 1% 145.98 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No 36% 275.81 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No 59% 101.69 shares
- Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the July interest rate announcement?Yes 0.7% 145.98 shares
- Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 1.6% 625 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?Yes 20% 25 shares
- Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.6% 216.67 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 18.4% 178.57 shares