0x3bc0128888f91625497E3CF5Fc71FB505C3f93E4-1774458317329

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.3K
Potential profit: $10.3K
User PnL: -$10.3

No position

Will the price of XRP be above $0.70 on June 23?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.1K
Potential profit: $10.1K
User PnL: -$10.1

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $9.45
Potential payout: $2.1K
Potential profit: $2.09K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$1.05

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $1,950 on June 25?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.45K
Potential profit: $1.45K
User PnL: -$6.61

Yes position

Will Netanyahu publicly insult Trump by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $20.24
Potential payout: $1.12K
Potential profit: $1.1K
Multiplier: 55.56x
User PnL: $0.25

Yes position

Will Chainlink reach $20 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $2.79
Potential payout: $930.99
Potential profit: $928.19
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$1.86

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 38.5%
Current value: $310.97
Potential payout: $807.72
Potential profit: $496.75
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: $40.97

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on June 20?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $800
Potential profit: $800
User PnL: -$72

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $499.98
Potential profit: $499.98
User PnL: -$30

Up position

XRP Up or Down - June 22, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $499.98
Potential profit: $499.98
User PnL: -$30

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $499.94
Potential profit: $499.94
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?

Ends Oct 28, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $10.39
Potential payout: $424.18
Potential profit: $413.79
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: $0.21

Yes position

Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $22
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $378
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 22?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $399.99
Potential profit: $399.99
User PnL: -$7.6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.33
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 18.1%
Current value: $54.15
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $245.85
Multiplier: 5.54x
User PnL: -$13.35

Up position

XRP Up or Down - June 22, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$3

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $37.5
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $262.5
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$1.5

Up position

XRP Up or Down - June 22, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $299.99
Potential profit: $299.99
User PnL: -$36

Up position

XRP Up or Down - June 22, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $299.98
Potential profit: $299.98
User PnL: -$11.81

Up position

XRP Up or Down - June 22, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $299.97
Potential profit: $299.97
User PnL: -$68.99

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$34

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$78

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$6

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $235.99

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $102.71

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $95.99

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.89

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $42.12

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.36

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 51.5%
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: $3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Down position

XRP Up or Down - June 22, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.34

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.47

Yes position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET