0xd13e...577e

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $62.29
Potential payout: $62.7
Potential profit: $0.41
User PnL: $22.16

No position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92%
Current value: $42.72
Potential payout: $46.43
Potential profit: $3.71
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $3.73

No position

Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $44.24
Potential payout: $44.55
Potential profit: $0.31
User PnL: $4.24

No position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $34.51
Potential payout: $34.74
Potential profit: $0.23
User PnL: $3.14

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $31.71
Potential payout: $31.73
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $9.5

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $20.37
Potential payout: $24.69
Potential profit: $4.32
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $0.37

No position

Israel closes its airspace by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85%
Current value: $18.78
Potential payout: $22.09
Potential profit: $3.31
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: -$0.22

Yes position

Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.7%
Current value: $20.91
Potential payout: $21.42
Potential profit: $0.5
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.93

No position

Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.3%
Current value: $19.86
Potential payout: $21.07
Potential profit: $1.21
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: -$0.12

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 87%
Current value: $15.84
Potential payout: $18.21
Potential profit: $2.37
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: $2.55

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $1.91
Potential payout: $1.93
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $0.14

Resolved Context

Closed positions

TheMongolz position

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.2

BetBoom Team position

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.84

Gen.G position

LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.07

Spain position

Spread: Spain (-2.5)

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.63

Monte position

Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.72

BetBoom Team position

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.8

Under position

Games Total: O/U 3.5

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.19

Yujia Huang position

ITF Wuning: Yujia Huang vs Sara Saito

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.03

DXA Esports position

Counter-Strike: Ding Cuts vs DXA Esports - Map 1 Winner

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.67

Yes position

Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.4

No position

Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.5

Gen.G position

Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs KT Rolster (+2.5)

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.72

B8 position

Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5)

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.71

Gen.G position

LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.57

Pandawa Lima position

Dota 2: cincai team vs Pandawa Lima - Game 1 Winner

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.76

Polina Iatcenko position

ITF Hurghada: Polina Iatcenko vs Sara Milanese

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.29

Yes position

Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Implied probability: 0.9%
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: $7.92

FURIA position

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.6

Aristotelis Thanos position

ITF Varnamo: Gilles Arnaud Bailly vs Aristotelis Thanos

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.69

Marie Mettraux position

ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Marie Mettraux vs Anja Stankovic

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.51

TheMongolz position

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.46

MARKandLARRY position

Counter-Strike: MARKandLARRY vs Abyssal (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 Group A

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.14

No position

Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.82

Lokomotiv Kuban position

BC Zenit vs. Lokomotiv Kuban