Polymarket Trader

0xD14eEFFd6Adc2d1344156c0f12c862dF63F634C6-1782573650276

0xd14eeffd6adc2d1344156c0f12c862df63f634c6

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $125.08
Realized PnL: $136.05
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 32.3%
Current value: $58.57
Potential payout: $181.62
Potential profit: $123.05
Multiplier: 3.10x
User PnL: -$5.18

Yes position

Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 95m and 105m?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 17.8%
Current value: $19.17
Potential payout: $107.69
Potential profit: $88.52
Multiplier: 5.62x
User PnL: -$1.83

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $8.68
Potential payout: $52.63
Potential profit: $43.95
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$1.32

Egypt position

Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $52.26
Potential profit: $52.26
User PnL: -$32.65

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-07-09?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $24.8
Potential payout: $40.32
Potential profit: $15.52
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: -$0.2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $39.22
Potential profit: $39.22
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $6.25
Potential payout: $35.71
Potential profit: $29.46
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: -$3.75

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.01
Potential profit: $34.01
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 31.9%
Current value: $7.6
Potential payout: $23.87
Potential profit: $16.26
Multiplier: 3.14x
User PnL: -$2.4

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.41
Potential profit: $18.41
User PnL: -$9.94

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.8
Potential profit: $17.8
User PnL: -$10

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.63
Potential profit: $15.63
User PnL: -$10

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.2
Potential profit: $12.2
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.8
Potential profit: $9.8
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.41
Potential profit: $7.41
User PnL: -$2.15

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Belgium position

United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.69

Spain position

Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.32

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.61

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.23

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.02

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.68

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.54

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.21

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.71

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.14

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.93

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.8

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.69

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.06

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.35

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.25

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.05

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.93

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.1

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 20.1%
Multiplier: 4.99x
User PnL: $1.07

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.69

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.18

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?

Yes 19% 52.63 shares
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Yes 41.9% 23.87 shares
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?

Yes 28% 35.71 shares
Will France win on 2026-07-09?

Yes 62% 40.32 shares
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance

Egypt 84% 21.01 shares
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance

Egypt 48% 31.25 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?

Yes 25% 41.66 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?

Yes 48% 41.67 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?

Yes 67% 64.83 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?

Yes 49% 34.69 shares
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 105m and 115m?

Yes 10% 179.87 shares
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 105m and 115m?

Yes 11.7% 179.87 shares